The Fiscal Implications of Population Aging for Hong Kong SAR: Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
May 6, 2025
Summary
Hong Kong SAR’s significant demographic pressures will create fiscal challenges for the authorities. Fiscal expenditure pressures from population aging have already been rising rapidly for over a decade and are expected to increase significantly in coming years, even without factoring in the cost of needed improvements to the social security system. An aging population is also going to adversely affect the
economy’s potential output growth and fiscal revenue, with the effect larger in a scenario where the working age population shrinks. Revenue-boosting tax reforms and other fiscal measures will be needed to provide a stable funding base for Hong Kong SAR’s high-quality development into the medium term.
economy’s potential output growth and fiscal revenue, with the effect larger in a scenario where the working age population shrinks. Revenue-boosting tax reforms and other fiscal measures will be needed to provide a stable funding base for Hong Kong SAR’s high-quality development into the medium term.
Subject: Aging, Expenditure, Labor, Labor force participation, Labor supply, Population and demographics, Social protection spending
Keywords: Aging, competitiveness vis, Demographic change, expenditure pressure, Fiscal policy, Labor force participation, Labor supply, protection expenditure, replacement rate, revenue-boosting tax reform, Social protection spending, Social safety nets
Pages:
8
Volume:
2025
DOI:
Issue:
049
Series:
Selected Issues Paper No. 2025/049
Stock No:
SIPEA2025049
ISBN:
9798229010344
ISSN:
2958-7875




