Economic Surveillance
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Role and Purpose of IMF Surveillance
- The IMF uses bilateral and multilateral surveillance, Article IV consultations, and financial sector assessments to identify risks and guide policy.
- Surveillance identifies stability risks to member countries and advises governments on potential policy adjustments.
- Surveillance supports the international monetary system by facilitating the exchange of goods, services, and capital among countries, thereby promoting sound economic growth.
- The IMF groups member countries into five regions and publishes regional outlook reports covering regional policy developments, challenges, and country-specific analysis.
- Timely and tailored surveillance enables lessons to be shared and provides members with well-calibrated policy advice.
Bilateral Surveillance and Article IV Consultations
- Bilateral surveillance gives country-specific advice; it takes place through Article IV consultations, typically during annual or biennial missions to member countries.
- During Article IV missions, IMF staff and country authorities engage in in-depth dialogue on fiscal, financial, and monetary policies and high-impact structural reforms.
- IMF staff recommendations and the authorities’ views are discussed by the Executive Board, which concludes the consultation.
- The FSAP informs Article IV consultations by providing in-depth assessments of countries’ financial sectors.
Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) and Financial Stability Assessments
- The FSAP provides in-depth assessments of countries’ financial sectors and is a key instrument of IMF surveillance.
- Financial stability assessments under the FSAP are mandatory for jurisdictions with financial sectors the IMF deems systemically important and are expected every five or ten years.
- In FY 2026:
- The IMF conducted 138 Article IV consultations.
- The IMF conducted 11 financial system stability assessments under the FSAP.
Reviews and Strategic Workstream
- In FY 2026, work commenced on the Comprehensive Surveillance Review (CSR) to analyze the evolving surveillance landscape and set surveillance priorities for the next five years.
- In FY 2026, work also started on the 2026 Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) Review to:
- assess the implementation of the 2021 FSAP Review priorities,
- identify priorities for the future as the financial system landscape evolves,
- help guide ongoing efforts to deepen macro-financial analysis in Article IV consultations.
- Both the CSR and the FSAP Review are expected to conclude in FY 2027.
Multilateral Surveillance and Publications
- As part of multilateral surveillance, the IMF issues biannual reports and updates on global economic developments, including:
- the World Economic Outlook,
- the Global Financial Stability Report,
- the Fiscal Monitor.
- The first chapter of each report analyzes changes in global conditions since the previous edition; thematic chapters provide in-depth analyses of selected topics.
- Interim updates on global economic conditions are issued when warranted.
- The IMF publishes the External Sector Report annually to provide a rigorous and candid assessment of global excess imbalances and their causes.
- The IMF Executive Board discusses all aspects of the IMF’s work and bases its work on policy papers prepared by IMF staff.
- In FY 2026, the IMF published 45 policy papers externally.
Examples of Policy Papers and Board Work (Selected)
- The 2025 Review of The Short-Term Liquidity Line (SLL): SLL introduced in 2020 as a revolving liquidity backstop; uptake limited with only one arrangement for Chile in 2022, which was canceled shortly thereafter in favor of a Flexible Credit Line (FCL). (12/17/2025)
- Chair’s Summing Up—Independent Evaluation Office—IMF Advice on Fiscal Policy: Executive Board discussion highlighted the evolution from a narrow focus on debt sustainability toward an integrated approach balancing fiscal sustainability, output stabilization, and long-term growth; Directors noted improvements in analytical tools and the need for clearer articulation of fiscal stance. (12/16/2025)
- Statement by the Managing Director on the Independent Evaluation Office Report on IMF Advice on Fiscal Policy: The Managing Director welcomes the IEO assessment noting the Fund’s evolution over the past 15 years. (12/16/2025)
- Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)—Enhancing Resilience to Global Shocks: Despite challenging external environment, GCC economies have been resilient; non-hydrocarbon activity robust; external positions overall strong; near-term risks tilted to the downside; medium-term risks two-sided. (12/06/2025)
- Fifteenth Periodic Monitoring Report on the Status of Management Implementation Plans in Response to Board-Endorsed IEO Recommendations: Assesses progress on 48 actions contained in 11 MIPs; over the past year, closure of 24 actions. (11/24/2025)
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