Modeling Inflation in Chad

March 1, 2011

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Format: Chicago

Tidiane Kinda. "Modeling Inflation in Chad", IMF Working Papers 2011, 057 (2011), accessed November 9, 2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781455221011.001

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This paper examines the determinants of inflation in Chad using quarterly data from 1983:Q1 to 2009:Q3. The analysis is based on a single-equation model, completed by a structural vector auto regression model to capture inflation persistence. The results show that the main determinants of inflation in Chad are rainfall, foreign prices, exchange rate movements, and public spending. The effects of rainfall shocks and changes in foreign prices on inflation persist during six quarters. Changes in public spending and the nominal exchange rate affect inflation during three and four quarters, respectively.

Subject: Exchange rates, Expenditure, Inflation, Money markets, Nominal effective exchange rate

Keywords: Public spending, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

30
Volume:

2011
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5089/9781455221011.001
Issue:

057
Series:

Working Paper No. 2011/057
Stock No:

WPIEA2011057
ISBN:

9781455221011
ISSN:

1018-5941

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