IMF Survey: Sri Lanka to Use IMF Loan to Reform Economy After Conflict
IMF News, July 29, 2009
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Bibliographic details
- Published: July 29, 2009
Program overview and objectives
- IMF approved a 20-month Stand-By Arrangement for Sri Lanka providing the country with a $2.6 billion loan to help reform the economy following the end of its extended conflict.
- The government’s program aims to:
- rebuild international reserves;
- reduce the fiscal deficit to a sustainable level of 5 percent of GDP by 2011;
- strengthen the financial sector;
- cushion the most vulnerable from the needed adjustment.
- The program is intended to provide a framework for international donor support for reconstruction needs (infrastructure, roads, hospitals, schools).
Macroeconomic situation and causes of vulnerability
- Sri Lanka had been running high budget deficits for several years and had borrowed internationally on short terms.
- The global financial crisis caused a sudden stop in financing from international markets.
- The central bank intervened to prevent exchange rate depreciation, which put pressure on international currency reserves; reserves remain at very low levels.
- The country is emerging from a 26-year conflict, with significant reconstruction needs.
Social protection and public spending commitments
- The government intends to maintain protection for the poor and funding for social services.
- Social sector spending is targeted to increase to 7 percent of GDP in 2009 from 6.8 percent in 2008.
- The Samurdhi program is cited as a key poverty-alleviation instrument, and the government is taking action to provide immediate relief and expand social safety net spending to resettle displaced persons in the North.
Fund financing, access, and terms
- The government requested a 20-month Stand-By Arrangement with access of SDR 1,653.6 million (about $2.6 billion), equivalent to 400 percent of Sri Lanka’s quota.
- Disbursement schedule:
- Initial disbursement of SDR 206.7 million (about $322.1 million) is made upon approval;
- Followed by seven additional disbursements in an equivalent amount.
- Interest rate: currently less than 1½ percent per year.
- Disbursements will be subject to quarterly reviews; starting in September 2009, disbursements will depend on the completion of a review.
- IMF funds would go directly into central bank reserves, rather than financing budget expenditures, to rebuild reserves while allowing exchange rate flexibility.
Expected effects and program design considerations
- Rebuilding reserves is expected to:
- provide a shock absorber to the real economy and reduce the size of real-economy adjustment otherwise needed;
- help avoid a balance of payments crisis and allow a more gradual adjustment;
- preserve confidence and allow the country to sustain a higher level of growth over time.
- The program is tailored to Sri Lanka’s unique circumstances; negotiations took time to ensure careful design.
Source: IMF Survey online, July 29, 2009.