A staff team from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) led by Luc Eyraud
visited Cotonou during October 18 to 29, 2018 to hold discussions on the
third review of the three-year economic and financial program supported by
the IMF under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF)
[1]
arrangement with the Republic of Benin. The discussions covered the draft
2019 budget, recent economic and financial developments, as well as
policies needed to foster high and inclusive growth, preserve debt
sustainability, enhance governance, and promote financial stability.
At the end of the visit, Mr. Eyraud issued the following statement:
“The discussions on the third review under the ECF-supported program have
allowed the authorities and the IMF team to reach a staff level agreement,
subject to approval by IMF management and the Executive Board.
Consideration by the IMF’s Executive Board is expected in December 2018.
“High public investment, record cotton production and processing, as well
as the recovery of the Nigerian economy were the main drivers of 2017
growth, which is estimated at 5.8 percent. The current account deficit
widened in 2017, due to an increase in imports of goods, reflecting the
scaling-up of public investment. For 2018 preliminary estimates indicate
that growth will further accelerate, mostly because of buoyant port
activity. The medium-term outlook remains favorable with economic growth
projected to remain above 6 percent over 2019–23, driven by rising private
investment and stronger demand from Nigeria. Inflation is expected to stay
below the WAEMU convergence rate of 3 percent in 2019.
“Performance under the ECF-supported program remains satisfactory. Based on
available data, all program monitoring indicators (quantitative and
structural) at end-June 2018 were broadly met.
“The authorities and the IMF mission agreed on fiscal policy measures for
the 2019 budget to secure key program objectives. These measures should
enable the projected fiscal deficit to decrease to 2.7 percent of GDP in
2019 and thus comply with the WAEMU regional deficit norm.
“The IMF welcomed the efforts included in the budget to mobilize domestic
revenues. The revenue measures will help allocate more resources to social
programs to protect the most vulnerable segments of the population. In
particular, the new health insurance system will enter in pilot phase next
year. Better revenue mobilization will also create space to finance the
infrastructure projects of the Government Action Program (2017-2021).
“In the area of public expenditure management, further efforts are needed
to strengthen the evaluation and prioritization of new investment projects
and, more generally, improve the efficiency of public investment. In this
regard, the authorities are implementing the recommendations of the
Technical Assistance mission on the management of public investment
conducted by the IMF at the end of 2017.
“The authorities and IMF staff also agreed on policies to secure public
debt sustainability through a prudent borrowing strategy and the
reinforcement of debt management. In this regard, the team encouraged the
authorities to pursue their recent actions to lengthen debt maturities,
lower interest costs and rebalance the structure of the debt portfolio. The
recent debt reprofiling operation, contributes to this objective.
“Going forward, the authorities and the IMF staff agreed on the need to
pursue efforts to strengthen governance and accelerate reforms aimed at
improving the business environment. The mission noted the recent
improvement in these areas and encouraged the government to push further
reforms that facilitate access to electricity and finance, as well as the
reinforcement of the anti-corruption framework.
“The team met with President Patrice Talon; Abdoulaye Bio Tchané, Minister
of State for Planning and Development; Romuald Wadagni, Minister of Economy
and Finance; Alain Komaclo, National Director of the regional central bank,
BCEAO; and other senior government officials.
“The mission thanks the authorities for their strong cooperation and the
constructive discussions.”
[1]
The Benin’s ECF-supported program was approved by the IMF Executive
Board in April 2017. The ECF
is a lending arrangement that provides sustained program engagement
over the medium to long term in case of protracted balance of
payments problems.