IMF Executive Board Completes the Sixth Review of Sri Lanka’s Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility
IMF News, November 1, 2019
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- IMF Executive Board Completes the Sixth Review of Sri Lanka’s Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility
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- Published: November 1, 2019
Review outcome and disbursement
- The Executive Board completed the Sixth Review of Sri Lanka’s economic performance under the program supported by an extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) on November 1, 2019.
- A waiver of non‑observance was granted for the end‑June 2019 performance criterion on the primary balance.
- The completion of the Sixth review enabled the disbursement of SDR 118.5 million (about US$164 million).
- Total disbursements under the arrangement following this review amounted to SDR 952.23 million (about US$1.31 billion).
Program size, timing, and extensions
- Sri Lanka’s extended arrangement was approved on June 3, 2016, in the amount of about SDR 1.1 billion (US$1.5 billion, or 185 percent of quota in the IMF at that time of approval of the arrangement).
- On May 13, 2019, the Executive Board approved an extension of the arrangement by one additional year, until June 2, 2020, with rephasing of remaining disbursements.
Economic outlook and risks
- Growth is projected to strengthen to 3.5 percent in 2020, from 2.7 percent in 2019, as tourist arrivals and related activities gradually recover following the Easter Sunday terrorist attacks.
- Important downside risks remain amid heightened external and domestic uncertainty.
Fiscal policy, debt, and public finance recommendations
- Sustaining fiscal policy discipline is emphasized as critical to strengthen resilience and support growth.
- Mobilizing revenue will be central to place public debt on a downward path while preserving space for social and investment spending.
- The new fiscal rule framework and the establishment of an independent public debt management agency over the medium term are expected to help anchor public debt sustainability.
- Advancing State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) reforms in the electricity sector is highlighted as critical to reduce fiscal risks.
Monetary policy and reserves
- The Central Bank of Sri Lanka should maintain a data dependent monetary policy.
- The new Central Bank Act is described as a milestone reform towards the adoption of flexible inflation targeting.
- Efforts to build reserves should be sustained to protect the economy against shocks, allowing for exchange rate flexibility in the event of market pressures.
Financial sector and safeguards
- Sri Lanka has made important progress in strengthening the AML/CFT regime.
- Recommended actions include harmonizing regulation and supervision of financial institutions, strengthening the macroprudential policy framework, and upgrading the contingency framework to safeguard financial stability.
Structural reforms and inclusive growth
- Further progress in the structural reform agenda is essential to bolster competitiveness and achieve stronger and inclusive growth.
- Policy focus areas listed:
- Liberalizing trade by gradually removing para tariffs while addressing their revenue impact.
- Strengthening the governance and anti corruption framework.
- Promoting women’s economic empowerment.
- Building climate resilience.
- Enhancing social protection.
Press Release No. 19/390, November 1, 2019.