Rafael Machado Parente - CV

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Bibliographic details

• Authors: Rafael Machado Parente

Biography

Rafael Machado Parente is an Economist in the Structural and Climate Policy Division of the Research Department. His work focuses on industrial policy, structural reforms, and international trade. Previously at the Fund, he covered regional developments in Latin America and the Caribbean and contributed to country surveillance in Belize. His research interests are on macroeconomics, labor, and trade. Rafael holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Princeton University.

Profile

Education

• Ph.D. in Economics at Princeton University, 2022

• M.Sc. in Economics at Fundação Getulio Vargas (EPGE), 2016

• B.A. in Economics at Fundação Getulio Vargas (EBEF), 2014

Previous Experience

• Economist, Structural and Climate Policies Division, Research Department, IMF, 2025-present

• Economist (Economist Program), Structural and Climate Policies Division, Research Department, IMF, 2024-2025

• Economist (Economist Program), Regional Studies and Caribbean 2 Divisions, Western Hemisphere Department, IMF, 2022-2023

• International Macroeconomics Analyst (Intern), GAP Asset Management, 2013

Awards and Honors

• International Economics Section Summer Fellowship, Princeton University, 2018-2021

• Graduate Fellowship, Princeton University, 2016-2022

• Fellowship for Master's Studies in Economics, CNPq, 2014-2016

• Undergraduate Scholarship, Fundação Getulio Vargas (EBEF), 2011-2014

Field of Expertise

• Poverty and Inequality

• Labor Economics

• International Trade

• Development Economics

IMF Direct Blog Posts

• How Latin America Can Use Trade to Boost Growth

• Latin America Can Boost Economic Growth by Reducing Crime

IMF Publications

IMF Books and Working Papers

• Shaping Innovation: Can Industrial Policies Boost Patent Applications?, Working Paper No. 2026/047 , March 13, 2026

• The Long-term Effects of Crime: From Individual Concerns to Macroeconomic Consequences, Working Paper No. 2026/039 , March 6, 2026

• Industrial Policy Since the Great Financial Crisis, Working Paper No. 2025/222 , October 31, 2025

• Industrial Policies and Firm Performance: A Nuanced Relationship, Working Paper No. 2025/143 , July 18, 2025

• Do Industrial Policies Increase Trade Competitiveness?, Working Paper No. 2025/098 , May 23, 2025

• Industrial Policies: Handle with Care, Staff Discussion Notes No. 2025/002 , March 21, 2025

• Social Security Reforms, Retirement and Sectoral Decisions, Working Paper No. 2025/032 , January 31, 2025

• The Dynamics of Trade Integration and Fragmentation in LAC, Working Paper No. 2024/253 , December 13, 2024

• Minimum Wages, Inequality, and the Informal Sector, Working Paper No. 2024/159 , July 19, 2024

• Non-traded Gains From Trade - Selection in the Non-Traded Sector: Evidence from Brazil, Working Paper No. 2023/265 , December 22, 2023

IMF Country Reports

• Hungary: 2025 Article IV Staff Report. IMF Country Report No. 25/250

• Belize: 2024 Selected Issues. IMF Country Report 23/125

• Belize: 2024 Article IV Staff Report. IMF Country Report No. 24/124

• Belize: 2023 Selected Issues. IMF Country Report 23/165

• Belize: 2023 Article IV Staff Report. IMF Country Report No. 23/164

Other Published Materials

• Industrial Policy: Managing Trade-Offs to Promote Growth and Resilience. Chapter 3: October 2025 World Economic Outlook.

• Industrial Policies: Handle with Care. IMF Staff Discussion Note No. 2025/002

• G-20 Background Note on the Impact of Growth on Inequality and Social Outcomes (Annex I: Informality and Inequality: Insights on Minimum Wages from Brazil). July 2024

• October 2023 Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere, "Trade Integration and Implications of Global Fragmentation to Latin America and the Caribbean." (Background Paper 2)

• October 2023 Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere, "Crime and its Macroeconomic Consequences in Latin America and the Caribbean." (Online Annex 4)

Non-IMF Publications

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

• Delalibera, Bruno, Pedro C. Ferreira, and Rafael Machado Parente. "Social Security Reforms, Retirement and Sectoral Decisions." International Economic Review (Accepted)

Other Published Materials

• Industrial Policies and Firm Performance: A Nuanced Relationship. SUERF Policy Brief No 1323, December 2025. SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum

• 'Industrial Policies: Handle with Care' in Baldwin, R and Ruta, M (eds), 'The State of Globalization.' CEPR Press, Paris & London

• 'Why Latin America is the world's trade pipsqueak: Its geography hinders commerce. But so does policy.' The Economist. July 13th 2024

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