Capital Flows to EU New Member States: Does Sector Destination Matter?
March 1, 2011
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Summary
The recent boom-bust episode in Emerging Europe was largely the product of surges and sudden stops in capital inflows. This paper empirically argues that the sectors into which capital flows determines their impact on GDP growth. Applying data from EU New Member States, it is found that capital flows into real estate have a greater impact on swings in GDP than other sectors, irrespective of a country's exchange rate or fiscal policy. Consequently, as new waves of capital inflows spread to emerging markets, policies may usefully focus on supporting capital inflows towards economic sectors that minimize large swings in GDP.
Subject: Capital flows, Capital inflows, Consumption, Credit, Foreign direct investment
Keywords: Bulgaria, FDI, GDP, GDP growth, WP
Pages:
27
Volume:
2011
DOI:
Issue:
067
Series:
Working Paper No. 2011/067
Stock No:
WPIEA2011067
ISBN:
9781455228034
ISSN:
1018-5941
