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IMF Staff Papers Logo last updated: December 2001
Volume 48, Number 2
 
Can Currency Demand Be Stable Under a Financial Crisis? The Case of Mexico
By May Khamis and Alfredo M. Leone

Full Text of this Article (PDF 216 K)

Abstract:The paper finds strong evidence that real currency demand in Mexico remained stable throughout and after the financial crisis in Mexico. Cointegration analysis using the Johansen-Juselius technique indicates a strong cointegration relationship between real currency balances, real private consumption expenditures, and the interest rate. The dynamic model for real currency demand exhibits significant parameter constancy even after the financial crisis as indi-cated by a number of statistical tests. The paper concludes that the significant reduction in real currency demand under the financial crisis in Mexico could be appropriately explained by the change in the variables that historically explained the demand for real cash balances in Mexico. This result supports the Bank of Mexico’s use of a reserve money program to implement monetary policy under the financial crisis. [JEL E41, C51, C52]

2001 International Monetary Fund