IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) - Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven, April 2014 — Table of Contents

World Economic Outlook, April 3, 2014

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Published: April 3, 2014
Series: World Economic Outlook

Executive summary — outlook and risks

Global activity has broadly strengthened and is expected to improve further in 2014–15, with much of the impetus for growth coming from advanced economies.
Downside risks have diminished overall, but key risks include:
- Lower-than-expected inflation poses risks for advanced economies.
- Increased financial volatility in emerging market economies.
- Increases in the cost of capital will likely dampen investment and weigh on growth.

Policy recommendations

Advanced economy policymakers:
- Need to avoid a premature withdrawal of monetary accommodation.
Emerging market economy policymakers:
- Must adopt measures to changing fundamentals.
- Facilitate external adjustment.
- Further monetary policy tightening.
- Carry out structural reforms.

Major analytical chapters and findings

Chapter 1: Recent Developments and Prospects
- Perspectives covered: The Demand and Activity Perspective; The External Sector Perspective; Downside Risks; Policies.
- Special Feature: Commodity Prices and Forecasts.
- Boxes include topics such as Credit Supply and Economic Growth; Is China’s Spending Pattern Shifting (away from Commodities)?; Anchoring Inflation Expectations When Inflation Is Undershooting; Exchange Rate Regimes and Crisis Susceptibility in Emerging Markets.
Chapter 2: Country and Regional Perspectives
- Regional coverage: The United States and Canada; Europe; Asia; Latin America and the Caribbean; Commonwealth of Independent States; The Middle East and North Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa.
- Spillover Feature: Should Advanced Economies Worry about Growth Shocks in Emerging Market Economies?
Chapter 3: Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates
- Analyzes causes of worldwide decreases in real interest rates since the 1980s.
- Concludes that global rates can be expected to rise in the medium term, but only moderately.
- Sections: Stylized Facts; Determinants of Real Rates; Which Factors Contributed to the Decline in Real Interest Rates?; Should We Expect a Large Reversal in Real Rates?; Summary and Policy Conclusions.
Chapter 4: On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis
- Examines factors behind fluctuations in emerging market economies’ growth, including the role of China.
- Concludes that strong growth in China played a key role in buffering the effects of the global financial crisis in these economies.
- Sections: Effects of External Factors on Emerging Market Growth; Global Chain or Global China? Quantifying China’s Impact; Growth Effects: The Long and the Short of It; Shifting Gears: Have Emerging Markets’ Growth Dynamics Changed since the Global Financial Crisis?; Policy Implications and Conclusions.

Data, appendices, and supporting material

Front Matter and Prefatory materials: Assumptions and Conventions; Further Information and Data; Preface; Foreword; Executive Summary.
Extensive figures, tables, and boxes across chapters, including:
- Global Activity Indicators; GDP Growth Forecasts; Monetary Conditions in Advanced Economies; Fiscal Policies; Global Inflation; Capacity, Unemployment, and Output Trend; Financial Market Conditions in Advanced Economies; Financial Conditions and Capital Flows in Emerging Market Economies; Exchange Rates and Reserves; External Sector; Risks to the Global Outlook; Recession and Deflation Risks.
Statistical appendices and annexes with country and group classifications, assumptions, and detailed tables (List of Tables Part A and Part B) covering: Summary of World Output; Advanced Economies: Real GDP and Total Domestic Demand; Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Real GDP; Summary of Inflation; General Government Fiscal Balances and Debt; Summary of World Trade Volumes and Prices; Summary of Balances on Current Account; Net Financial Flows; External Debt and Debt Service; Medium-Term Baseline Scenario; and many more.

IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), April 2014 — Table of Contents

IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) - Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven, April 2014 — Table of Contents

Source details

Other formats

Bibliographic details

Executive summary — outlook and risks

Policy recommendations

Major analytical chapters and findings

Data, appendices, and supporting material

Content in this bundle

References