IMF Executive Board Completes the Eleventh Review under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement for Guinea-Bissau
IMF News, June 12, 2026
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- Published: June 12, 2026
Review outcome and financing
- The Executive Board completed the Eleventh Review under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement for Guinea-Bissau on June 12, 2026.
- Immediate disbursement allowed: SDR 1.18 million (about US$1.6 million).
- The completion enables a disbursement of SDR 1.18 million (about US$1.7 million) to help meet the country’s balance-of-payments and fiscal financing needs.
- Total disbursements under the arrangement to date: SDR 38.59 million (about US$54.8 million).
- The three-year arrangement was approved on January 30, 2023, and the Executive Board granted an augmentation of access on November 29, 2023.
- The Executive Board approved the modification of quantitative performance criteria on total domestic tax revenue and domestic primary balance and completed the financing assurances review.
Program performance and policy implementation
- All end‑March 2026 quantitative performance criteria, indicative targets, and continuous structural benchmarks and performance criteria were met.
- Program performance under the Eleventh Review was characterized as strong, reflecting firm policy implementation and adherence to the reform agenda.
- Authorities’ commitments emphasized:
- Prudent macroeconomic policies.
- Stronger revenue mobilization.
- Strict expenditure prioritization.
- Sustained reform momentum.
- Strengthening cash and debt management.
Macroeconomic outlook and risks
- Economic growth:
- 2025 growth is estimated at about 5.8 percent, supported by robust agricultural production (particularly cashew exports) and solid private investment.
- Growth is expected to moderate in 2026 amid a more challenging external environment.
- External and domestic risks highlighted:
- Elevated global fuel prices as a result of the war in the Middle East.
- Risks to the cashew campaign.
- Downside risks including adverse weather, terms‑of‑trade shocks, and tighter financing conditions.
- Policy implications:
- Continued fiscal discipline is essential.
- Sustained efforts to strengthen cash and debt management, prioritize spending, and promote diversification (including in fisheries and extractive sectors) are key to reinforcing resilience over the medium term.
- Authorities committed to minimizing the fiscal impact of measures to protect vulnerable groups given risks from elevated fuel prices.
Capacity development (CD) and structural reforms
- CD support has been closely integrated into the ECF-supported program and has increased significantly since 2023.
- CD spending:
- Spending nearly doubling and remaining above the Sub-Saharan Africa average.
- Amounted to about US$6 million during 2023-26.
- Main CD focus areas:
- Revenue administration and tax policy.
- Public financial management.
- Statistics.
- Debt management.
- CD-assisted reforms and outcomes:
- Replaced the sales tax with a VAT.
- Digitalized revenue administration.
- Strengthened tax audits.
- Supported wage bill controls that reduced the wage bill by over 2 percent of GDP.
- Improved SOE oversight, including by eliminating the losses of the electricity and water utility of over 1 percent of GDP.
- Structural reforms advanced by authorities:
- Disengagement from the undercapitalized bank with a new private investor injecting fresh capital, in line with the restructuring strategy.
- Progress in diversifying the energy supply mix.
Key statements from IMF management
- Mr. Bo Li, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair, stated:
- “Guinea-Bissau continues to show resilience despite a complex economic and political backdrop. Growth in 2025 was higher than projected, fiscal discipline has been restored, and program performance has been strong."
- “In the context of elevated fuel prices, continued commitment to program implementation is essential to maintain macroeconomic stability, contain debt vulnerabilities, and address development needs."
- “The authorities’ fiscal consolidation plan remains appropriate. The corrective measures to restrain current expenditure continue, along with close monitoring of the execution of priority capital expenditure."
- “Domestic revenue mobilization efforts are bearing fruit, notably through enhanced customs procedures and a stronger focus on large taxpayers."
- “These measures are critical to enhancing the business climate and promoting the conditions for economic diversification.”
Press Release No. 26/204; June 12, 2026. International Monetary Fund.