Estimating Potential Output in Niger: Niger
Selected Issues Papers, April 18, 2025
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe
- Published: April 18, 2025
- Series: Selected Issues Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229006507.018
Key findings on potential growth
- Potential growth in Niger is estimated at around 6 percent.
- Labor provides a structurally significant contribution to potential growth.
- Peaks of growth are associated with higher investment in physical capital.
- Growth is constrained by weak productivity, limited structural transformation, and inadequate economic diversification.
- Downside risks to growth stem mainly from regional insecurity and adverse climate shocks.
Drivers and constraints
- Drivers highlighted:
- Labor accumulation (structurally significant).
- Investment in physical capital (associated with growth peaks).
- Constraints highlighted:
- Weak productivity.
- Limited structural transformation.
- Inadequate economic diversification.
- External and regional risks:
- Regional insecurity.
- Adverse climate shocks.
Policy priorities and measures to boost growth
- Investment in human capital.
- Development of the extractive sector.
- Development of agro-industrial value chains.
- Diffusion of digital technologies.
Thematic tags and technical focus
- Subject areas: Human capital, Labor, Output gap, Potential output, Production, Total factor productivity.
- Methodological and topical keywords: B. sectoral growth trend, Economic Growth, Global, Growth decomposition, growth in Niger, Human capital, I. Cobb-Douglas production function, Output gap, output gap estimate, output gap estimation, Potential output, Production function, Statistical filters, Total factor productivity, West Africa.
By Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe, April 18, 2025 — Selected Issues Paper (21 pages).
Content in this bundle
- Contributions to Real GDP Growth in Niger