IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) - Recovery, Risk, and Rebalancing, October 2010 -- Table of Contents

World Economic Outlook, October 6, 2010

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IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) - Recovery, Risk, and Rebalancing, October 2010 -- Table of Contents

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Bibliographic details

• Published: October 6, 2010
• Series: World Economic Outlook

Core analytical framing

• Global economic recovery rests on two rebalancing acts:
  • internal rebalancing to strengthen private demand in advanced economies
  • external rebalancing to increase net exports in deficit countries and decrease net exports in surplus countries
• The October 2010 edition examines the dynamics of global rebalancing.

Purpose and scope of the WEO

• The World Economic Outlook (WEO) presents the IMF staff's analysis and projections of economic developments:
  • at the global level
  • in major country groups (classified by region, stage of development, etc.)
  • in many individual countries
• Focus areas:
  • major economic policy issues
  • analysis of economic developments and prospects
• Frequency:
  • usually prepared twice a year, as documentation for meetings of the International Monetary and Financial Committee, and forms the main instrument of the IMF's global surveillance activities.

Major report components and themes

• Foreword and Executive Summary
• Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies
  • Stronger Activity, but Setbacks to Financial Stability
  • Questions about the Pace of Recovery
  • More Proactive Policies Are Needed
  • Appendices on commodity market developments and growth indicators
• Chapter 2. Country and Regional Perspectives
  • Asia Is Advancing with Resilience
  • The U.S. Recovery Is Moderating in the Face of Debt and Continued Uncertainty
  • Europe Is Facing a Gradual and Uneven Recovery
  • Latin America Is Sustaining Its Growth Momentum
  • The CIS Region Is Experiencing a Modest Recovery
  • The Middle East and North Africa Region Is Recovering Strongly
  • Africa’s Growth Is Accelerating
• Chapter 3. Will It Hurt? Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation
  • Looking At History: What Is the Short-Term Impact of Fiscal Consolidation
  • Additional Insights from Model Simulations
  • Long-Term Effects of Reducing Government Debt
  • Lessons for Countries Considering Fiscal Consolidation
  • Appendices on data sources, estimation approach, and identification of fiscal consolidation episodes
• Chapter 4. Do Financial Crises Have Lasting Effects on Trade?
  • Has Trade Recovered?
  • Trade Dynamics following Previous Crises
  • What Factors Are Associated with Postcrisis Import Dynamics?
  • Summary and Implications for the Outlook
  • Appendices on data sources and methodology

Data, boxes, tables, and figures (selection of analytical assets)

• Statistical Appendix covering:
  • Assumptions
  • What's New
  • Data and Conventions
  • Classification of Countries
  • General Features and Composition of Groups in the World Economic Outlook Classification
  • Emerging and Developing Economies
• Lists of tables (Part A and Part B) covering Output, Inflation, Financial Policies, Foreign Trade, Current Account Transactions, Balance of Payments and External Financing, Flow of Funds, Medium–Term Baseline Scenario, External Debt and Debt Service
• Boxes (numbered A.1, 1.1–1.5, 2.1–2.2, 4.1–4.2) covering targeted topics such as:
  • Inferring Potential Output from Noisy Data: The Global Projection Model View
  • Uncoordinated Rebalancing
  • The Role of the Composition Effect and Intermediate Goods in the Great Trade Collapse
• Key figures and charts including:
  • Current and Forward-Looking Indicators; Global Indicators; Recent Financial Market Developments
  • 1.6 Public Sector Financing; 1.9 Recovery Dynamics; 1.13 Global Outlook; 1.15 Risks to the Global Outlook; 1.17 Global Imbalances
  • Growth Tracker; Average Projected Real GDP Growth during 2010–11 (global and regional breakdowns)
  • Action-Based Fiscal Consolidation and Impacts (including impacts of a 1 Percent of GDP fiscal consolidation)
  • Trade dynamics: The Great Trade Collapse; The Recovery in Trade; Import and Export Losses, Controlling for Output

Quantitative and publication metadata preserved verbatim

• Publication date: October 2010
• Download Full Text (8 MB)
• Average Projected Real GDP Growth during 2010–11 (figures and regional versions included in report)
• Action-Based Fiscal Consolidation: Impact metrics expressed per "1 Percent of GDP" in multiple figures and simulations
• Annex: IMF Executive Board Discussion of the Outlook, September 2010

IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) - Recovery, Risk, and Rebalancing, October 2010

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• Sumapdf (PDF)
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• Fig110pdf (PDF)
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• Annexpdf (PDF)
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• Exesumpdf (PDF)
• Forewordpdf (PDF)
• Frontpdf (PDF)
• Prefacepdf (PDF)
• Statapppdf (PDF)
• Sumpdf (PDF)
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• Box111
  • Box111 (CSV)
• box112 — dataset overview
  • box112 — dataset overview (CSV)
• Box121
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• box122
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• box1_2_3
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• box151 — dataset overview
  • box151 — dataset overview (CSV)
• box152 — dataset overview
  • box152 — dataset overview (CSV)
• box211 — dataset overview
  • box211 — dataset overview (CSV)
• box221
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• box411
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• box4_1_3
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• box421 (dataset overview)
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• Dataset overview: box422
  • Dataset overview: box422 (CSV)
• box4_2_3
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• Fig1 1 (CSV)
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References

• World Economic Outlook Database
• Transcript
• Transcript
• https://www.imf.org/external/mmedia/view.aspx?vid=624931972001
• The Effects of Fiscal Consolidation on Economic Activity
• https://www.imf.org/external/mmedia/view.aspx?vid=621060227001
• Archive of WEO Reports
• IMF Data Mapper®
• Research at the IMF
• discussion forum
• Ordering Information
• Disclaimer
• https://www.imf.org/en/home