IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), The Global Economy After September 11, December 2001 — Contents

World Economic Outlook, December 18, 2001

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The World Economic Outlook presents the IMF staff’s analysis and projections of economic developments at the global level, in major country groups (classified by region, stage of development, etc.), and in many individual countries.
It focuses on major economic policy issues as well as on the analysis of economic developments and prospects.
It is usually prepared twice a year, as documentation for meetings of the International Monetary and Financial Committee, and forms the main instrument of the IMF’s global surveillance activities.
Transcript of a Press Conference on the Interim World Economic Outlook: December 18, 2001.
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Assumptions and Conventions
Preface
Chapter I. Containing the Risks to the Global Economy
- 518k pdf file
- Appendix: Contagion and Its Causes
- References
Chapter II. How Has September 11 Influenced the Global Economy?
- 230k pdf file
- Direct Impact of the Attacks
- The Confidence Channel
- Financial Market Reaction
- Commodity Markets
Chapter III. Global and Regional Economic Prospects
- 452k pdf file
- The Global Outlook
- Emerging Markets
- Appendix: Alternative Scenario—Impact of a More Gradual Increase in Confidence and Risk Appetite
- Annex. Summing Up By the Acting Chair
- Statistical Appendix
- Assumptions
- List of Tables

1.1 Policymaking Under Uncertainty
2.1 The Long-Term Impact of September 11
2.2 Financial Market Dislocations and Policy Responses After the September 11 Attacks
2.3 Investor Risk Appetite
2.4 How Did the September 11 Attacks Affect Exchange Rate Expectations?
3.1 The Accuracy of World Economic Outlook Growth Forecasts: 1991–2000
3.2 Fiscal Stimulus and the Outlook for the United States
3.3 The Effects of the September 11 Attacks on the Caribbean Region
3.4 Argentina: An Uphill Struggle to Regain Confidence

Overview of the World Economic Outlook Projections
1.2 The Channels of Contagion or Spillovers in Selected Crises
Direct Costs of September 11 Attacks
Impact of Confidence Indices on the Growth of Real GDP
Developments in Financial Markets
Change in the Implied Earnings Growth Rates over the Next Year
2.5 United States: Consensus Forecasts During January–October 2001 for Pre-Tax Profits
2.6 Estimated Effects of Commodity Price Changes on GDP Growth
Advanced Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Unemployment
Major Advanced Economies: General Government Fiscal Balances and Debt
Selected Developing and Transition Economies: Real GDP, Consumer Prices, and Current Account Balance
Emerging Market Economies: Net Capital Flows
3.5 Alternative Scenario: Delayed Strengthening in Consumer Confidence and Risk Appetite
3.6 Alternative Scenario: Delayed Recovery in Financing Flows to Emerging Markets
3.7 Ready Reckoners of Individual Shocks

Global Indicators
Selected Financial Market Indicators
1.3 Selected European Union Countries, Japan, and United States: Indicators of Consumer and Business Confidence
1.4 Private Sector Forecasts
1.5 Global Output, Industrial Production, and Trade Growth
1.6 Average Cross-Correlation of Emerging Debt Markets
Stock Market Indices by Industry
United States: Indicators of Consumer and Business Confidence
Credit and Bond Markets
Macroeconomic Indicators—Advanced Economies
Technology and Total Exports in Emerging Asia
Linkages Between Central and Western Europe
Fuel and Nonfuel Commodity Exporting Countries
Impact of a Delayed Reversion in Global Confidence and Risk Appetite

Contents page: 393k pdf file
Chapters and appendices: indicated individual PDF sizes (518k pdf file; 230k pdf file; 452k pdf file).

IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), The Global Economy After September 11, December 2001 — Contents

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