World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces

World Economic Outlook

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World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces

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Overview

• The World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026 projects global growth at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook.
• Technology investment, fiscal and monetary support, accommodative financial conditions, and private sector adaptability are identified as factors that offset trade policy shifts.
• Global inflation is expected to fall, but US inflation will return to target more gradually.

Projections and drivers

• Growth:
  • Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026.
  • Global growth is projected at 3.2 percent for 2027.
• Drivers offsetting headwinds:
  • Technology investment
  • Fiscal and monetary support
  • Accommodative financial conditions
  • Private sector adaptability
• Headwinds:
  • Trade policy shifts

Risks and uncertainties

• Key downside risks:
  • Reevaluation of technology expectations
  • Escalation of geopolitical tensions

Policy recommendations

• Policymakers should:
  • Restore fiscal buffers
  • Preserve price and financial stability
  • Reduce uncertainty
  • Implement structural reforms

Content in this bundle

• Figures and Tables (XLSX)
• 1. Asia Excluding China
  • 1. Asia Excluding China (Markdown version)
  • 1. Asia Excluding China (PDF)

References

• Previous Issues
• Blog