A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis
IMF Working Papers, February 12, 2021
Source details
- Canonical URL
- A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis
Other formats
Bibliographic details
- Authors: Flavien Moreau, Adriana Lleras-Muney
- Published: February 12, 2021
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001
Summary
- Proposal: A dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards.
- Model characteristics: Parsimonious; provides an excellent fit for mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816.
- Analytical scope: Sheds light on dynamics behind documented phenomena in the literature.
Key findings and analytic contributions
- The model explains the following phenomena:
- The existence and evolution of mortality gradients across socio-economic statuses.
- Non-monotonic dynamic effects of in-utero shocks.
- Persistent or “scarring” effects of wars.
- Mortality displacement after large temporary shocks such as extreme weather.
- Empirical fit:
- Applies to primate and human populations since 1816.
- Described as providing an "excellent fit" for mortality and survival curves.
Publication and metadata (preserved exactly)
- Authors: Flavien Moreau, Adriana Lleras-Muney
- Date: February 12, 2021
- Series: Working Paper No. 2021/037
- Issue: 037
- Volume: 2021
- Pages: 67
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001
- Stock No: WPIEA2021037
- ISBN: 9781513569499
- ISSN: 1018-5941
- Format citation (Chicago) as presented: Flavien Moreau, and Adriana Lleras-Muney. "A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis", IMF Working Papers 2021, 037 (2021), accessed 9/16/2026, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001
IMF Working Paper No. 2021/037 — A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis