IMF Publications by Subject

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Forecasting
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Title: Czech Magic : Implementing Inflation-Forecast Targeting at the CNB
Author/Editor:Kevin Clinton,Tibor Hlédik,Tomás Holub,Douglas Laxton,Hou Wang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 17/21
Subject: 
Title: Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach
Author/Editor:Francis Vitek
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 17/89
Subject: 
Title: Uganda : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/130
Subject: 
Title: A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies
Author/Editor:Zoltan Jakab ; Pavel Lukyantsau ; Shengzu Wang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 15/50
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Germany ; France ; Italy ; Spain ; Euro Area ; Spillovers ; General equilibrium models
Title: A Model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Uruguay
Author/Editor:Rafael Portillo ; Yulia Ustyugova
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 15/170
Subject: Central banks and their policies ; Uruguay ; Monetary policy ; Inflation targeting ; Demand for money ; Econometric models ; Forecasting
Title: A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia
Author/Editor:Carolina Osorio ; D. Filiz Unsal ; Runchana Pongsaparn
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/170
Subject: Asia ; Economic conditions ; Economic growth ; Financial sector ; Forecasting models ; Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009 ; Gross domestic product
Title: Adding China to the Global Projection Model
Author/Editor:Patrick Blagrave ; Peter Elliott ; Roberto Garcia-Saltos ; Douglas Hostland ; Douglas Laxton ; Fan Zhang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/256
Subject: Forecasting models ; China ; Monetary policy ; Inflation ; Exchange rate regimes ; Commodity prices
Title: Ambiguity, Transparency, and Institutional Strength
Author/Editor:Erbas, S. Nuri
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/115
Subject: Transparency ; Forecasting models
Title: Analyzing Determinants of Inflation When There Are Data Limitation:The Case of Sierra Leone
Author/Editor:Gottschalk, Jan ; Kalonji, Kadima D. ; Miyajima, Ken
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 08/271
Subject: Inflation ; Sierra Leone ; Data analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Oil prices ; Money supply ; Exchange rate depreciation ; Forecasting models
Title: Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice?
Author/Editor:Berg, Andrew ; Borensztein, Eduardo ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/52
Subject: Crisis prevention ; Currencies ; Economic indicators ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Balance of payments need
Title: A Bayesian Approach to Model Uncertainty
Author/Editor:Tsangarides, Charalambos G.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/68
Subject: Forecasting models ; Economic models
Title: Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?
Author/Editor:Darius, Reginald
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/196
Subject: Asset prices ; Economic growth ; Forecasting models ; Inflation ; International liquidity ; Price increases ; Real estate prices ; Spillovers
Title: Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?
Author/Editor:Zalduendo, Juan ; Batista, Catia
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/203
Subject: Economic growth ; Forecasting models
Title: The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises
Author/Editor:Berg, Andrew ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
lblSeries:Economic Issues No. 22
Subject: Financial crisis ; Economic forecasting
Title: Chile: Selected Issues
lblSeries:Country Report No. 06/336
Subject: Central banks ; Economic forecasting ; Liquidity ; Chile ; Public sector ; Public debt
Title: Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting
Author/Editor:Christoffersen, Peter F. ; Diebold, Francis X.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 97/61
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation
Author/Editor:Crowe, Christopher W.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/178
Subject: Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Gross domestic product
Title: Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis
Author/Editor:Chen, Huigang ; Clinton, Kevin ; Johnson, Marianne ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Laxton, Douglas
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/214
Subject: Bank credit ; Credit restraint ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; European Union ; Inflation targeting ; Interest rates ; Japan ; Monetary policy ; Oil prices ; United States
Title: Corporate Balance Sheet Restructuring and Investment in the Euro Area
Author/Editor:Jaeger, Albert
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 03/117
Subject: External financing ; Euro Area ; Investment ; Business cycles ; Forecasting models
Title: The Corporate Spread Curve and Industrial Production in the United States
Author/Editor:Chan-Lau, Jorge A. ; Ivaschenko, Iryna V.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 02/8
Subject: Economic forecasting ; United States ; Industrial production ; Economic models
Title: Cyclical Behavior of Inventories and Growth Projections Recent Evidence from Europe and the United States
Author/Editor:Clausen, Jens R. ; Hoffmaister, Alexander W.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/212
Subject: Business cycles ; Cross country analysis ; Europe ; Forecasting models ; Manufacturing sector ; Production growth ; United States
Title: Data Dissemination Standards and the Statistical Quality of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Mrkaic, Mico
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/203
Subject: Data quality assessment framework ; Economic forecasting ; General Data Dissemination System ; Government finance statistics ; Members ; Special Data Dissemination Standard ; World Economic Outlook
Title: Developing a Structured Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Support Inflation-Forecast Targeting (IFT)
Author/Editor:Laxton, Douglas ; Rose, David ; Scott, Alasdair
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/65
Subject: Inflation ; Forecasting models ; Data analysis ; Databases ; Monetary policy ; Central banks ; Human capital
Title: Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?
Author/Editor:John C Bluedorn ; Jörg Decressin ; Marco Terrones
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/203
Subject: Asset prices ; Group of seven ; Stock markets ; Business cycles ; Economic recession ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?
Author/Editor:David A Reichsfeld ; Shaun K. Roache
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/254
Subject: Commodity markets ; Commodity prices ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
Author/Editor:Laurence M. Ball ; João Tovar Jalles ; Prakash Loungani
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 14/24
Subject: Unemployment ; Economic growth ; Economic forecasting
Title: Does Money Matter for U.S. Inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs
Author/Editor:Berger, Helge ; Österholm, Pär
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 08/76
Subject: Inflation ; United States ; Monetary aggregates ; Monetary policy ; Forecasting models
Title: Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
Author/Editor:Coenen, Günter ; Erceg, Christopher ; Freedman, Charles ; Furceri, Davide ; Kumhof, Michael ; Lalonde, René ; Laxton, Douglas ; Lindé, Jesper ; Mourougane, Annabelle ; Muir, Dirk ; Mursula, Susanna ; Roberts, John ; Roeger, Werner ; de Resende, Carlos ; Snudden, Stephen ; Trabandt, Mathias ; in ‘t Veld, Jan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/73
Subject: Budget deficits ; Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; Europe ; Fiscal policy ; Government expenditures ; Monetary policy ; Public debt ; Stabilization measures ; Taxes ; United States
Title: Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?
Author/Editor:Cheung, Yin-Wong ; Chinn, Menzie David ; Garcia Pascual, Antonio
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/73
Subject: Exchange rates ; Monetary measures ; Productivity ; Interest rates ; Purchasing power parity ; Forecasting models
Title: Estimation of Economic Growth in France Using Business Survey Data
Author/Editor:Kabundi, Alain N.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/69
Subject: Economic growth ; France ; Forecasting models ; Data collection ; Data analysis
Title: Evaluating GDP Forecasting Models for Korea
Author/Editor:Li Zeng
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/53
Subject: Economic models ; Forecasting models ; Gross domestic product
Title: An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Timmermann, Allan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 06/59
Subject: World Economic Outlook ; Economic forecasting ; Economic conditions
Title: Exchange Rates, Country Preferences, and Gold
Author/Editor:Dooley, Michael P. ; Isard, Peter ; Taylor, Mark P.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 92/51
Subject: Exchange rates ; Gold prices ; Forecasting models
Title: External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia: Insights from A Bayesian VAR Model
Author/Editor:Abrego, Lisandro ; Österholm, Pär
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 08/46
Subject: Economic growth ; Colombia ; Private investment ; Forecasting models
Title: Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area
Author/Editor:Troy Matheson
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/93
Subject: Economic conditions ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Monetary policy
Title: Financial Information and Macroeconomic Forecasts
Author/Editor:Sophia Chen ; Romain Ranciere
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 16/251
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Credit expansion ; Stock prices ; Housing prices ; Developed countries ; Emerging markets ; Low-income developing countries ; Variables (Mathematics) ; Forecasting models ; Time series
Title: Fiscal Expectations Under the Stability and Growth Pact : Evidence From Survey Data
Author/Editor:Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro ; Jan-Christoph Rülke
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/48
Subject: Budget deficits ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Fiscal stability
Title: Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows
Author/Editor:Todd B. Walker ; Eric M. Leeper ; Shu-Chun S. Yang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 12/153
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks
Author/Editor:Sylwia Nowak ; Pratiti Chatterjee
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 16/228
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Vector autoregression ; Error analysis
Title: Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries : Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya
Author/Editor:Michal Andrle ; Andrew Berg ; R. Armando Morales ; Rafael Portillo ; Jan Vlcek
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/61
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Kenya ; Food imports ; Inflation ; Monetary policy ; Low-income developing countries ; Forecasting models
Title: Forecasting Commodity Prices: Futures Versus Judgment
Author/Editor:Bowman, Chakriya ; Husain, Aasim M.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/41
Subject: Commodity prices ; Forecasting models
Title: Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy: Accuracy Is (Still) a Matter of Geography
Author/Editor:Berger, Helge ; Ehrmann, Michael ; Fratzscher, Marcel
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 06/41
Subject: Monetary policy ; Europe ; European Central Bank ; Economic forecasting ; Data collection ; Data analysis
Title: Forecasting Inflation in Indonesia
Author/Editor:Ramakrishnan, Uma ; Vamvakidis, Athanasios
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 02/111
Subject: Inflation ; Indonesia ; Forecasting models

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