Recent Turmoil in Emerging Markets and the Behavior of Country-Fund Discounts : Renewing the Puzzle of the Pricing of Closed-End Mutual Funds

Author/Editor:

Charles Frederick Kramer ; T. Todd Smith

Publication Date:

July 1, 1995

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper argues that recent movements in closed-end emerging markets funds present a strong challenge to the leading explanations of the behavior of closed-end country fund prices. In particular, closed-end funds dedicated to Mexico and other Latin American stock markets developed large premia after the December 1994 devaluation of the Mexican peso and the subsequent financial crisis. The so-called “investor sentiment hypothesis” could explain these events only by suggesting that investors became very optimistic about emerging markets stocks, and especially Mexican stocks; this possibility seems unlikely given the facts surrounding the devaluation. We argue instead that a sensible explanation for recent dynamics of closed-end country funds is that investors in these funds are loss-averse, implying that they do not want to realize paper losses on their closed-end fund shares. This works to put a drag on the downward movement in closed-end fund prices.

Series:

Working Paper No. 95/68

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

July 1, 1995

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451848953/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA0681995

Price:

$15.00 (Academic Rate:$15.00)

Format:

Paper

Pages:

30

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