Forecasting Inflation in Indonesia

Author/Editor: Ramakrishnan, Uma ; Vamvakidis, Athanasios
Publication Date: June 01, 2002
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary: A reliable inflation-forecasting model is central for a sound monetary policy framework. In this paper, we study the domestic and international transmission effects on inflation in Indonesia and analyze the possible leading indicators of inflation. We identify the exchange rate, foreign inflation, and monetary growth as the main variables with a significant predictive power for inflation in Indonesia.
Series: Working Paper No. 02/111
Subject(s): Inflation | Indonesia | Forecasting models

Author's Keyword(s): Indonesia | inflation forecasting
Publication Date: June 01, 2002
ISBN/ISSN: 1934-7073 Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA1112002 Pages: 23
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