IMF Working Papers

Social Fractionalization, Political Instability, and the Size of Government

By Anthony M Annett

April 1, 2000

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Anthony M Annett. Social Fractionalization, Political Instability, and the Size of Government, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2000) accessed September 18, 2024
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This paper explores the relationship between the degree of division or fractionalization of a country’s population (along ethnolinguistic and religious dimensions) and both political instability and government consumption, using a neoclassical growth model. The principal idea is that greater fractionalization, proxying for the degree of conflict in society, leads to political instability, which in turn leads to higher government consumption aimed at placating the opposition. There is also a feedback mechanism whereby the higher consumption leads to less instability as government consumption reduces the risk of losing office. Empirical evidence based on panel estimation supports this hypothesis.

Subject: Consumption, Defense spending, Expenditure, Government consumption, Income, International trade, National accounts, Terms of trade

Keywords: Africa, Consumption, Defense spending, East Asia, Form government consumption equation, Fractionalization, Government consumption, Government consumption, Government consumption model, Government crisis, Government elite, Government faction, Government purchase, Government worker, Government's choice, Growth rate, Income, Nonmilitary government consumption to GDP, Political economy, Size of government, Standard deviation, Terms of trade, Utility function, WP

Publication Details

  • Pages:

    30

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 2000/082

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA0822000

  • ISBN:

    9781451850437

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941