IMF Publications by Subject

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Economic forecasting
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Title: Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach
Author/Editor:Francis Vitek
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 17/89
Title: Variance Decomposition Networks : Potential Pitfalls and a Simple Solution
Author/Editor:Jorge A Chan-Lau
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 17/107
Title: Uganda : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/130
Title: A Toolkit to Assess the Consistency Between Real Sector and Financial Sector Forecasts
Author/Editor:Sophia Chen,Paola Ganum,Pau Rabanal
lblSeries:Technical Notes and Manuals No. 17/09
Title: Turkey : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/208
Title: Uganda : Technical Assistance Report-Improving GDP Forecasting
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/270
Title: Portugal : Selected Issues
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/279
Title: Georgia : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/291
Title: Brazil : Technical Assistance Report-Supporting Implementation of the Expenditure Rule Through Public Financial Management Reforms
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/292
Title: Forecasts in Times of Crises
Author/Editor:Theo S. Eicher,David J. Kuenzel,Chris Papageorgiou,Charis Christofides
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/48
Title: Independent Fiscal Councils: Recent Trends and Performance
Author/Editor:Roel M. W. J. Beetsma,Xavier Debrun,Xiangming Fang,Young Kim,Victor Duarte Lledo,Samba Mbaye,Xiaoxiao Zhang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/68
Title: On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism
Author/Editor:Paul Beaudry,Tim Willems
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/122
Title: El Salvador : Selected Issues
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 18/152
Title: A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium
Author/Editor:Emanuel Kopp,Peter D. Williams
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/140
Title: An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka
Author/Editor:Chandranath Amarasekara,Rahul Anand,Kithsiri Ehelepola,Hemantha Ekanayake,Vishuddhi Jayawickrema,Sujeetha Jegajeevan,Csaba Kober,Tharindi Nugawela,Sergey Plotnikov,Adam Remo,Poongothai Venuganan,Rasika Yatigammana
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/149
Title: Predicting Fiscal Crises
Author/Editor:Svetlana Cerovic,Kerstin Gerling,Andrew Hodge,Paulo Medas
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/181
Title: Colombia : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 18/250
Title: A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies
Author/Editor:Zoltan Jakab ; Pavel Lukyantsau ; Shengzu Wang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 15/50
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Germany ; France ; Italy ; Spain ; Euro Area ; Spillovers ; General equilibrium models
Title: Analyzing Determinants of Inflation When There Are Data Limitation:The Case of Sierra Leone
Author/Editor:Gottschalk, Jan ; Kalonji, Kadima D. ; Miyajima, Ken
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 08/271
Subject: Inflation ; Sierra Leone ; Data analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Oil prices ; Money supply ; Exchange rate depreciation ; Forecasting models
Title: Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice?
Author/Editor:Berg, Andrew ; Borensztein, Eduardo ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/52
Subject: Crisis prevention ; Currencies ; Economic indicators ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Balance of payments need
Title: The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises
Author/Editor:Berg, Andrew ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
lblSeries:Economic Issues No. 22
Subject: Financial crisis ; Economic forecasting
Title: Chile: Selected Issues
lblSeries:Country Report No. 06/336
Subject: Central banks ; Economic forecasting ; Liquidity ; Chile ; Public sector ; Public debt
Title: Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting
Author/Editor:Christoffersen, Peter F. ; Diebold, Francis X.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 97/61
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation
Author/Editor:Crowe, Christopher W.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/178
Subject: Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Gross domestic product
Title: Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis
Author/Editor:Chen, Huigang ; Clinton, Kevin ; Johnson, Marianne ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Laxton, Douglas
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/214
Subject: Bank credit ; Credit restraint ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; European Union ; Inflation targeting ; Interest rates ; Japan ; Monetary policy ; Oil prices ; United States
Title: The Corporate Spread Curve and Industrial Production in the United States
Author/Editor:Chan-Lau, Jorge A. ; Ivaschenko, Iryna V.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 02/8
Subject: Economic forecasting ; United States ; Industrial production ; Economic models
Title: Data Dissemination Standards and the Statistical Quality of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Mrkaic, Mico
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/203
Subject: Data quality assessment framework ; Economic forecasting ; General Data Dissemination System ; Government finance statistics ; Members ; Special Data Dissemination Standard ; World Economic Outlook
Title: Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?
Author/Editor:John C Bluedorn ; Jörg Decressin ; Marco Terrones
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/203
Subject: Asset prices ; Group of seven ; Stock markets ; Business cycles ; Economic recession ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?
Author/Editor:David A Reichsfeld ; Shaun K. Roache
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/254
Subject: Commodity markets ; Commodity prices ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
Author/Editor:Laurence M. Ball ; João Tovar Jalles ; Prakash Loungani
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 14/24
Subject: Unemployment ; Economic growth ; Economic forecasting
Title: Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
Author/Editor:Coenen, Günter ; Erceg, Christopher ; Freedman, Charles ; Furceri, Davide ; Kumhof, Michael ; Lalonde, René ; Laxton, Douglas ; Lindé, Jesper ; Mourougane, Annabelle ; Muir, Dirk ; Mursula, Susanna ; Roberts, John ; Roeger, Werner ; de Resende, Carlos ; Snudden, Stephen ; Trabandt, Mathias ; in ‘t Veld, Jan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/73
Subject: Budget deficits ; Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; Europe ; Fiscal policy ; Government expenditures ; Monetary policy ; Public debt ; Stabilization measures ; Taxes ; United States
Title: An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Timmermann, Allan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 06/59
Subject: World Economic Outlook ; Economic forecasting ; Economic conditions
Title: Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area
Author/Editor:Troy Matheson
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/93
Subject: Economic conditions ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Monetary policy
Title: Financial Information and Macroeconomic Forecasts
Author/Editor:Sophia Chen ; Romain Ranciere
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 16/251
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Credit expansion ; Stock prices ; Housing prices ; Developed countries ; Emerging markets ; Low-income developing countries ; Variables (Mathematics) ; Forecasting models ; Time series
Title: Fiscal Expectations Under the Stability and Growth Pact : Evidence From Survey Data
Author/Editor:Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro ; Jan-Christoph Rülke
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/48
Subject: Budget deficits ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Fiscal stability
Title: Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows
Author/Editor:Todd B. Walker ; Eric M. Leeper ; Shu-Chun S. Yang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 12/153
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks
Author/Editor:Sylwia Nowak ; Pratiti Chatterjee
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 16/228
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Vector autoregression ; Error analysis
Title: Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries : Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya
Author/Editor:Michal Andrle ; Andrew Berg ; R. Armando Morales ; Rafael Portillo ; Jan Vlcek
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/61
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Kenya ; Food imports ; Inflation ; Monetary policy ; Low-income developing countries ; Forecasting models
Title: Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy: Accuracy Is (Still) a Matter of Geography
Author/Editor:Berger, Helge ; Ehrmann, Michael ; Fratzscher, Marcel
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 06/41
Subject: Monetary policy ; Europe ; European Central Bank ; Economic forecasting ; Data collection ; Data analysis
Title: Forecasting the Nominal Brent Oil Price with VARs—One Model Fits All?
Author/Editor:Benjamin Beckers ; Samya Beidas-Strom
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 15/251
Subject: Oil prices ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Vector autoregression
Title: Forecasting U.S. Investment
Author/Editor:Lee, Jaewoo ; Rabanal, Pau
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/246
Subject: Demand ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Economic models ; Industrial investment ; Information technology ; Private consumption ; Private sector ; Software ; United States
Title: Ghostbusting: Which Output Gap Measure Really Matters?
Author/Editor:Billmeier, Andreas
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/146
Subject: Production ; Inflation ; Economic forecasting
Title: Global Relative Poverty
Author/Editor:Nielsen, Lynge
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/93
Subject: Poverty ; Income distribution ; Economic growth ; Economic forecasting ; Social indicators
Title: Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
Author/Editor:Olivier J. Blanchard ; Daniel Leigh
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/1
Subject: Economic growth ; Fiscal policy ; Government expenditures ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Growth: Now and Forever?
Author/Editor:Giang Ho ; Paolo Mauro
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 14/117
Subject: Economic growth ; Economic forecasting ; Panel analysis

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