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Author/Editor:
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Paulo Drummond ; Estelle X. Liu
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Publication Date:
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December 17, 2013
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Electronic Access:
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Free Full text
(PDF file size is 238KB).
Use the free
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.
The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
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Summary:
The rapid growth in China’s domestic investment in recent decades has generated a large appetite for global goods, including from sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This paper estimates the impact of changes in China’s investment growth on SSA’s exports. Although rising trading links with China have allowed African countries to diversify their export base across countries, away from advanced economies, they have also led SSA countries to become more susceptible to spillovers from China. Based on panel data analysis, a 1 percentage point increase (decline) in China’s domestic investment growth is associated with an average 0.6 percentage point increase (decline) in SSA countries’ export growth. This impact is larger for resource-rich countries, especially oil exporters. These effects could be mitigated, however, to the extent that countries can reorient their exports.
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Order a print copy
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Series:
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Working Paper No. 13/250
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English
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Publication Date:
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December 17, 2013
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ISBN/ISSN:
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9781484311318/2227-8885
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Format:
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Paper
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Stock No:
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WPIEA2013250
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Pages:
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24
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Price:
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US$18.00 )
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Please address any questions about this title to
publications@imf.org
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