Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition

Author/Editor:

Etienne Espagne ; William Oman ; Jean-François Mercure ; Romain Svartzman ; Ulrich Volz ; Hector Pollitt ; Gregor Semieniuk ; Emanuele Campiglio

Publication Date:

September 8, 2023

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary:

This paper analyzes the cross-border risks that could result from a decarbonization of the world economy. We develop a typology of cross-border risks and their respective channels. Our qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis suggests that the mid-transition – a period during which fossil-fuel and low-carbon energy systems co-exist and transform at a rapid pace – could have profound stability and resilience implications for global trade and the international financial system.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2023/184

Subject:

Frequency:

regular

English

Publication Date:

September 8, 2023

ISBN/ISSN:

9798400254550/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2023184

Format:

Paper

Pages:

59

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