Country Transparency and the Global Transmission of Financial Shocks

Author/Editor: Luís Brandão Marques ; Gaston Gelos ; Natalia Melgar
Publication Date: July 03, 2013
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary: This paper considers the role of country-level opacity (the lack of availability of information) in amplifying shocks emanating from financial centers. We provide a simple model where, in the presence of ambiguity (uncertainty about the probability distribution of returns), prices in emerging markets react more strongly to signals from the developed market, the more opaque the emerging market is. The second contribution is empirical evidence for bond and equity markets in line with this prediction. Increasing the availability of information about public policies, improving accounting standards, and enhancing legal frameworks can help reduce the unpleasant side effects of financial globalization.
Series: Working Paper No. 13/156
Subject(s): External shocks | Financial systems | Emerging markets | Stock markets | Bond markets | Transparency | Economic models

Publication Date: July 03, 2013
ISBN/ISSN: 9781484397237/1018-5941 Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA2013156 Pages: 38
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