International Monetary Fund

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Bubble Detective: City-Level Analysis of House Price Cycles

February 17, 2023
Working Paper No. 2023/033  click for more

Personal Income Taxes in the Middle East and North Africa: Prospects and Possibilities

February 17, 2023
Working Paper No. 2023/034  click for more

IMF Staff and Ukrainian Authorities Reach Staff Level Agreement on the review of Program Monitoring with Board Involvement (PMB)

February 17, 2023
“Performance under the PMB has been strong. Due to the joint efforts of the Government of Ukraine and the National bank of Ukraine, all end-December quantitative and indicative targets have been met, as have all five end-January structural benchmarks. These included the Government submitting to Parliament a package of draft tax laws aimed to increase revenues, taking steps by the Ministry of Finance to address arrears, developing a concept note for a social safety net, establishing Naftogaz’s supervisory Board, and agreeing on the key elements of banking sector diagnostics.  click for more

Belize Staff Concluding Statement of the 2023 Article IV Mission

February 17, 2023
Economic activity has rebounded strongly from the COVID-19 pandemic, while inflation has risen. The rebased national accounts show that, after contracting by 13.4 percent in 2020, real GDP rebounded by 15.2 percent in 2021 and 11.6 percent in the first three quarters of 2022, driven by retail and wholesale trade, tourism, and business process outsourcing. Visitor arrivals reached 74 percent of pre-pandemic levels in 2022 as COVID-19 restrictions eased amid vaccination efforts in Belize and source markets, while the unemployment rate fell from 10.2 percent in 2021 to 5.0 percent in the second half of 2022. Inflation increased to 3.2 percent in 2021 and 6.3 percent in 2022, driven by higher global food and fuel prices despite the fixing of domestic diesel and regular gasoline prices at the pump since April 2022.  click for more

Alan S. Blinder on Monetary and Fiscal Policy: Rowing with Both Oars

February 17, 2023
The conflicts and collaborations in fiscal and monetary policy that have shaped the United States economy.  click for more

IMF Staff Concludes Visit to Georgia

February 17, 2023
The Georgian economy grew strongly in 2022 at around 10 percent, reflecting limited adverse spillovers from Russia’s war in Ukraine, buoyant tourism, a surge in war-related migrant and financial inflows, and a rise in transit trade through Georgia. These factors boosted fiscal revenues, significantly narrowed the current account deficit, and supported foreign exchange reserve purchases and the lari.  click for more

Uganda: Central Bank Transparency Code Review; IMF Country Report No. 23/86

February 16, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/086  click for more

Kyrgyz Republic: Selected Issues

February 16, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/092  click for more

Kyrgyz Republic: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report

February 16, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/091  click for more

IMF Executive Board Concludes 2022 Article IV Consultation with the Kyrgyz Republic

February 16, 2023
The economy of the Kyrgyz Republic has shown resilience to the spillovers from the war in Ukraine and is estimated to have grown by 5.5 percent in 2022, driven by gold production, trade, transportation, and agriculture. Annual inflation increased to over 15 percent during the year, mainly due to high global food and fuel prices, but core inflation also rose to double digits. The general government deficit, including lending to energy sector state-owned enterprises, is estimated to have widened to 5.2 percent of GDP in 2022 from 0.8 percent the year before, primarily due to a significant increase in public sector salaries and pensions, and public investment, offsetting efforts to strengthen tax administration that have yielded a remarkable improvement in tax revenue of around 6 percentage points of GDP. Imports are estimated to have increased considerably, partly because of higher oil prices, but also due to an increase in transit trade, while gold exports were negligible. The banking system has remained financially healthy, but non-performing loans increased to more than 12 percent of total loans.  click for more

Nigeria: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Nigeria

February 16, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/093  click for more

Nigeria: Selected Issues

February 16, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/094  click for more

IMF Staff Concludes Visit to Barbados

February 16, 2023
“Barbados faced challenging conditions in recent years as a result of the global pandemic, natural disasters, and the rise in global food and fuel prices. After contracting by 14 percent in 2020-2021, economic activity is recovering strongly, driven by the tourism sector, with real GDP growth estimated at 10 percent in 2022. The economic recovery is expected to continue in 2023.  click for more

Bringing the US Economy Back into Balance

February 16, 2023
The US Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to restore price stability and to bring balance to the labor market. The demand for new hires is exceeding the supply of available workers in the US, as the unemployment rate has fallen to its lowest level in over 50 years, and this has contributed to higher inflation.  click for more

Republic of Congo: Poverty Reduction and Growth Strategy

February 15, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/090  click for more

Republic of Congo: Second Review under the Three-year Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, Requests for Modification and Waivers of Nonobservance of Performance Criteria, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Congo

February 15, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/089  click for more

IMF Executive Board Concludes 2022 Article IV Consultation with Türkiye

February 15, 2023
On January 18, 2023, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund concluded the consideration of the 2022 Article IV Consultation and the Financial Sector Stability Assessment with the Republic of Türkiye.  click for more

Guinea-Bissau: Request for a Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility-Press Release; and Staff Report

February 15, 2023
Country Report No. 2023/087  click for more

IMF Staff Concludes Visit to the Democratic Republic of the Congo

February 15, 2023
“Preliminary data show significantly stronger real GDP growth in 2022 than previously anticipated. Growth is now estimated at 8.5 percent, as stronger-than-expected mining production (which grew at about 20 percent) more than compensated for a downward revision to non-extractive growth (to 3.2 percent from 3.9 percent). Annual inflation reached 13.1 percent at end-2022 on account of higher food, energy, and transport prices. Preliminary data also suggest that the current account deficit widened in 2022, due to strong import growth and deteriorated terms of trade. Despite this deterioration, the Central Bank of Congo (BCC) has reported gross international reserves at US$4.6 billion, about $300 million above the previous projection. The 2022 overall fiscal balance is estimated to have deteriorated as spending increased to address the security situation and arrears repayments.  click for more

Colombia: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2023 Article IV Mission

February 14, 2023
The new administration took office in August 2022, with social equity and climate at the center of its agenda. Against a backdrop of high inflation and elevated fiscal and current account deficits, monetary and fiscal policies are being appropriately tightened, facilitating the needed transition towards more sustainable and inclusive growth. The approval of the 2022 tax reform, the prudent 2023 Financing Plan, the reaffirmation of the inflation target and the associated tightening of monetary policy are especially noteworthy and consistent with Colombia’s very strong policy implementation. The balance of risks around the outlook remains tilted to the downside, albeit somewhat moderated by a less gloomy global outlook. As such, macroeconomic policies should continue to be tight to prioritize a durable reduction in inflation and external imbalances. Prudently advancing key structural reforms , coupled with a continually strengthened communication strategy , will be essential to boost productivity, enhance inclusiveness, and ensure a gradual and well-sequenced transition to a greener and more diverse economy.  click for more

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