IMF Executive Board Completes Third ECF Review for Ghana, and Approves US$116.2 Million Disbursement
IMF News, September 29, 2016
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- Published: September 29, 2016
Review completion and disbursement
- On September 28, 2016 the Executive Board completed the third review of Ghana’s economic performance under the program supported by an Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement.
- Completion of the review enables the disbursement of SDR 83.025 million (about US$116.2 million).
- Total disbursements under the arrangement after this review: SDR 332.1 million (about US$464.6 million).
Program size, approval, and objectives
- Ghana’s three-year arrangement: SDR 664.20 million (about US$918 million or 180 percent of quota at the time of approval).
- Arrangement approval date: April 3, 2015.
- Program aims:
- Restore debt sustainability.
- Restore macroeconomic stability.
- Foster a return to high growth and job creation.
- Protect social spending.
Program adjustments and waivers
- During the review, adjustments were made to the program to ensure it remains on track and to enhance its prospects of success.
- The Executive Board granted waivers, including for minor deviations in a few program targets.
IMF assessment — macroeconomic situation and risks (Tao Zhang, Acting Chair and Deputy Managing Director)
- Implementation of the ECF-supported program by the Ghanaian authorities is described as “broadly satisfactory,” but the economic outlook remains challenging.
- Progress noted:
- Stabilizing the macroeconomic situation.
- Reducing financial imbalances.
- Persistent risks:
- Fiscal risks remain elevated.
- Revenue shortfalls need to be addressed.
- Expenditure control measures should be fully enforced to contain the wage bill and other current spending.
- Fiscal projection and implications:
- The government is projected to run a primary surplus this year.
- The projected primary surplus, together with stability of the cedi, should contribute to a marked decline in the debt-to-GDP ratio.
- Ongoing fiscal consolidation and implementation of the medium-term debt management strategy are key to further reducing domestic refinancing risks in 2017.
- Authorities should remain cautious in accessing external market financing with due consideration to costs and debt sustainability.
Policy and reform recommendations
- Fiscal policy and public financial management:
- Broaden the tax base and enhance tax compliance.
- Strengthen control of the wage bill.
- Enhance public financial management (PFM).
- Note: The recently adopted PFM legislation is an improvement over previous laws.
- State-owned enterprises (SOEs):
- Steps taken to address SOEs financial problems are welcome.
- More work is needed to reduce risks to the economy, the financial sector, and the government budget from SOE underperformance.
- Monetary policy and central bank governance:
- The Bank of Ghana (BoG) should maintain a tight monetary policy stance to bring inflation back to target.
- Recent amendments to the BoG Act have introduced some improvements to central bank governance.
- Continued scope for central bank financing of the government and government influence on central bank operations remain significant shortcomings.
- Authorities’ commitment to maintaining zero BoG financing of the government under the program and to introducing additional amendments to the BoG Act in 2017 are welcome.
- Financial sector policies:
- Full and timely implementation of the BoG’s roadmap for the banking system is essential to address financial sector risks.
- Adoption of two new banking sector laws strengthens the authorities’ toolkit.
- The new legislation warrants further improvements to enable authorities to effectively safeguard financial stability.
IMF Press Release No. 16/439 (September 29, 2016).