IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement with Cameroon on the Fourth Reviews of the Extended Credit Facility and the Extended Fund Facility
IMF News, May 19, 2023
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- Published: May 19, 2023
Mission outcome and financing
- The mission reached staff-level agreement with the Cameroonian authorities on economic and financial policies to support approval of the fourth reviews of the program under the ECF and EFF arrangements.
- Completion of the fourth reviews by the IMF Executive Board, scheduled in late June 2023, would enable the disbursement of SDR 55.2 million (about US$73.8 million).
- The arrangement was approved by the IMF Executive Board for a total amount of SDR 483 million (about US$689.5 million) on July 29, 2021.
- Mission dates: visit to Yaoundé during May 4-17; statement issued May 19, 2023.
Economic outlook and projections
- Growth is estimated at 3.7 percent in 2022.
- Growth is projected to reach 4 percent in 2023.
- Headline inflation reached 7.3 percent year-on-year at end-2022, up from 3.5 percent at end-2021.
- Inflation is expected to moderate from 7.3 percent at end-2022 to 5.9 percent at end-2023.
- Risks highlighted: tight global financial conditions and increased oil price volatility.
- Medium-term prospects: “remain favorable provided reforms continue, and the external environment is supportive.”
Fiscal performance and liquidity management
- The overall fiscal deficit declined to 1.1 percent of GDP in 2022 from 3 percent in 2021.
- The non-oil primary deficit increased to 4 percent of GDP in 2022 from 3.9 percent in 2021.
- Non-oil revenue performance improved substantially in 2022, due to both tax and non-tax revenues.
- The non-oil primary deficit target under the program was met for 2022.
- A substantial part of the subsidies for petroleum products for 2022, validated only in 2023, will be integrated into the revised 2023 budget.
- Temporary and minor breaches of the target on non-accumulation of external payment arrears indicate the need to improve liquidity management and limit spending through exceptional procedures.
- Public debt at end-2022 reached 46.5 percent of GDP, declining slightly from 46.8 percent of GDP at end-2021.
- Authorities’ 2023 fiscal targets: reduce the overall fiscal deficit to 1 percent of GDP and the non-oil primary fiscal deficit to 2.4 percent of GDP in 2023.
Structural reforms and policy recommendations
- To meet the SND30 (national development strategy for 2020-30) objectives, a substantial expansion of fiscal space for priority spending—especially infrastructure—is required while maintaining debt sustainability.
- Recommended fiscal measures:
- Further mobilize non-oil revenues.
- Broaden the tax base following the review of tax policy.
- Better target priority spending and improve expenditure efficiency.
- Public financial management and public investment recommendations:
- Implement recommendations from the public investment management assessment (PIMA) follow-up of 2020.
- Complete the public expenditure and financial accountability review (PEFA) currently underway.
- Ensure a credible budget and disciplined budget execution to avoid accumulation of unpaid domestic obligations and support timely completion of major infrastructure projects, especially in the transport and energy sectors.
- Public enterprise and governance measures:
- Strengthen the performance and financial management of public enterprises and proceed with planned rehabilitation of SONARA.
- Launch and implement the financial inclusion strategy.
- Strengthen governance, including the launch of a broad diagnostic of economic governance and plans to strengthen the Supreme Court’s Audit Bench.
- Structural transformation priorities:
- Accelerate reforms to support deep structural transformation of the economy.
- Improve the business climate for the private sector to underpin inclusive and resilient growth.
Program implementation and next steps
- The IMF staff will prepare a report, based on the mission’s preliminary findings, that—subject to management approval—will be presented to the IMF Executive Board for discussion and decision.
- If the Executive Board completes the fourth reviews in late June 2023, Cameroon will access SDR 55.2 million (about US$73.8 million) in financing.
Engagements and acknowledgements
- IMF mission leader: Ms. Cemile Sancak, Mission Chief for Cameroon.
- The IMF team met with: Prime Minister Joseph Dion Ngute; Minister and Secretary General of the Presidency Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh; Minister of Finance Louis Paul Motaze; Minister of the Economy, Planning and Regional Development Alamine Ousmane Mey; National Director of the BEAC Emmanuel Nkoa Ayissi; other senior officials; representatives of development partners; the diplomatic community; the private sector; and civil society.
- The IMF team expressed thanks to the Cameroonian authorities for their cooperation and constructive dialogue.
Press Release No. 23/162 — May 19, 2023, IMF Communications Department