THE GAMBIA: IMF Executive Board Completes the First Review Under the Extended Credit Facility
IMF News, July 9, 2024
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- Published: July 9, 2024
Program status and disbursements
- The Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement was approved by the IMF Executive Board on January 12, 2024, in the amount of SDR74.64 million (about US$98.7 million).
- Completion of the first review allows an immediate disbursement of SDR 8.29 million (about US$10.95 million).
- Total disbursement under the arrangement following this review: about SDR16.6 million (US$21.9 million).
- Program performance under the ECF arrangement has been described as satisfactory.
Macroeconomic developments and key statistics
- Economic growth is estimated at 5.3 percent in 2023.
- Sector contributors to growth: agriculture, services, telecommunication, and construction.
- Tourist arrivals increased in 2023 but remain slightly below pre-pandemic levels.
- Remittance inflows showed sustained good performance.
- Headline inflation: eased from a peak of 18.5 percent (year-on-year) in September 2023 to 11 percent in April 2024.
- Central bank medium-term inflation objective: 5 percent.
- International reserves: above 4.5 months of imports.
- The introduction of a new foreign exchange policy in December 2023 helped largely close the wedge between the official and parallel market exchange rates and ease foreign exchange shortages.
Outlook and risks
- The outlook remains subject to downside risks from the repercussions of global and regional conflicts.
- Specific risks include:
- international commodity price volatility,
- lower tourist arrivals,
- weak remittance inflows.
Policy assessment and recommendations
- Monetary policy:
- The central bank has maintained a tight monetary policy stance to fight inflationary pressures.
- Authorities are encouraged to make full use of the central bank’s policy toolkit to fight inflation, ensure a market-based exchange rate, and smooth functioning of the foreign exchange market.
- Fiscal policy:
- 2023 fiscal outturns: good revenue performance, but the fiscal deficit and public debt exceeded projections due to accelerated execution of some infrastructure projects.
- Fiscal policy in 2024 remains anchored on the approved budget.
- Recommended actions:
- bolster domestic revenue mobilization,
- reprioritize spending,
- adhere to the agreed borrowing plan,
- focus on grants and concessional loans,
- limit fiscal risks from SOEs and PPPs,
- implement a strong medium-term fiscal framework.
- Strong external buffers are needed to prepare for the upcoming expiration of debt service deferrals.
- Structural and governance reforms:
- Authorities are encouraged to build on recent progress, including the adoption of the anti-corruption bill by the National Assembly.
- Further progress is critical on enhancing governance and improving the business environment to foster a strong recovery and inclusive growth.
- Adopting strong climate-related policies is essential to build The Gambia’s resilience to climate risks.
The Gambia: Press Release No. 24/264, July 9, 2024, International Monetary Fund.