IMF Staff Country Reports

Tonga: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Tonga

June 21, 2016

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International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept "Tonga: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Tonga", IMF Staff Country Reports 2016, 178 (2016), accessed 12/5/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498311816.002

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Summary

This paper discusses recent economic developments, economic outlook, risks, and challenges in Tonga. The Tongan economy has been rebounding since a contraction in FY2013. Growth accelerated from 2.1 percent in FY2014 to 3.7 percent in FY2015, supported by construction, tourism, strong remittances, and strong private credit, notwithstanding weather-related disruptions to agricultural production. The FY2016 real GDP growth is projected to remain relatively strong at 3.1 percent, driven by a recovery in agriculture and an increase in construction activity in preparation for the South Pacific Games. However, a protracted period of slower growth in advanced and emerging market economies, particularly in Australia and New Zealand, could weigh on Tonga via aid, remittances, and tourism channels.

Subject: Banking, Credit, Environment, External debt, Money, Natural disasters, Public debt, Public financial management (PFM)

Keywords: accommodative monetary policy stance, Australia and New Zealand, authority, CR, Credit, financing gap, Global, government, government delivery, ISCR, Natural disasters, Pacific Islands, right, Tonga, Tongan authorities, Tongan authority, Tongan economy