Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa - Staying the Course, October 2014 -- Table of Contents

Sub-Saharan Africa, October 20, 2014

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Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa - Staying the Course, October 2014 -- Table of Contents

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Bibliographic details

• Published: October 20, 2014
• Series: Sub-Saharan Africa

Overview and Executive Findings

• The October 2014 Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa anticipates continued strong growth in much of Sub-Saharan Africa, driven by efforts to invest in infrastructure and by strong agricultural production.
• The current Ebola outbreak in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone is exacting a heavy toll, with spillovers to neighboring countries.
• External threats to the region's overall positive outlook include global financial conditions and a slowdown in emerging market growth.
• Other focal topics: building resilience in fragile states and addressing the infrastructure deficit.

Report Structure and Major Chapters

• Abbreviations
• Acknowledgements
• Executive Summary
• 1. Staying the Course
  • Introduction and Summary
  • Will Stronger Global Ties Continue to Support Growth?
  • Public Debt: Vulnerabilities in Some Countries
  • The Outlook: Strong Prospects, but Downside Risks
• 2. Building Resilience in Fragile States in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Introduction
  • The Analytics of Fragility
  • Factors and Policies Associated with Building Resilience
  • Case Studies
  • The Way Forward
• 3. Addressing the Infrastructure Deficit in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Stylized Facts: The Current Status of Sub-Saharan Africa’s Infrastructure
  • The Financing of Infrastructure in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Broad Overview
  • The Way Forward: Policies to Reduce the Infrastructure Deficit
  • Conclusions
• Statistical Appendix
• References
• Publications of the IMF African Department, 2009–14

Boxes (selected)

• 1.1. Comparing the Cost of Sovereign Bond Issuance in Domestic and Foreign Currencies
• 1.2. More Diversification than Previously Thought? Examples from Recent National Account Rebasing
• 2.1. Gauging Fragility in Sub-Saharan Africa
• 2.2. Logit Framework
• 3.1. Regional Infrastructure
• 3.2. Financial Contracts to Facilitate Infrastructure Investments
• 3.3. Role of Multidonor Budget Support and Donors in Leveraging Private Capital
• 3.4. New Infrastructure Financing Initiatives

Tables (selected)

• Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP Growth
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Other Macroeconomic Indicators
• Average Change in CPIA Scores by Country Groups
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Social Indicators
• Strengths and Weaknesses of Infrastructure Financing Modalities

Figures and Key Data Visualizations

• Chapter 1 figures include:
  • World GDP Growth and Sub-Saharan Africa Export Growth
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: Exports by Partner
  • 1.3. World Export Interconnectedness, 2000 and 2013
  • 1.4. Current Account Balances and Investment, 2010–13
  • 1.5. Selected Economies: Change in Sovereign Spreads since May 2013 and Fiscal Balance over 2013–14
  • 1.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Outstanding International Sovereign Bonds for Markets Access Economies
  • 1.7. Sub-Saharan Africa: GDP Growth Synchronization: 1990–2013
  • 1.8. Sub-Saharan Africa: Transmission of Shocks from Advanced and Emerging Economies
  • 1.9. Sub-Saharan Africa: Gross External Financing, Average 2012–13
  • 1.10. Sub-Saharan African Selected Countries: Currency Depreciation and Inflation Between end-April 2013 and end-July 2014
  • 1.11. Sub-Saharan Africa: Public Sector Debt, 2004–13
  • 1.12. Sub-Saharan Africa: Contribution to Public Sector Debt Accumulation, 2011–13
  • 1.13. Sub-Saharan Africa: Overall Fiscal Balance, 2004–13
  • 1.14. Market Access Countries: Overall Fiscal Balance, 2011 versus 2013
  • 1.15. Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: Largest Negative Fiscal Balance Deviation from Projection, 2013
  • 1.16. Sub-Saharan Africa: Change in Primary Fiscal Balance and Capital Expenditure, 2013
  • 1.17. Sub-Saharan Africa: Average Grant Element, 2001–12
  • 1.18. Sub-Saharan Africa: Impact on GDP Level from External Shocks
• Chapter 2 figures include:
  • Macroeconomic Indicators
  • 2.3. Average Growth Volatility in Real GDP per Capita: 1990s versus 2000s
  • 2.4. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP per Capita Growth Acceleration and Deceleration, 1990–2011
  • 2.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Fiscal Institutions and Policy Space
  • 2.6. Sub-Saharan African Fragile States: Fiscal Space Indicators
  • 2.7. Sub-Saharan African Fragile States: Social Indicators
  • 2.8. Overall CPIA Scores
  • 2.9. Factors in Building Resilience
  • 2.10. Political Stability, 1996–2011
  • 2.11. CPIA Public Sector Management and Institutions Cluster, 2005–13
  • 2.12. Government Revenue, 1990–2013
  • 2.13. Control of Corruption, 1998–2012
  • 2.14. Rule of Law, 1998–2012
  • 2.15. Real GDP per Capita
• Chapter 3 figures include:
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: Levels of Infrastructure Development, 2000 and 2010
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: Sectoral Infrastructure Developments
  • Emerging and Developing Economies: Purchasing Power Parity GDP per Capita versus Quality of Infrastructure, 2013
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: Rank of Deviations of World Economic Forum Scores, 2013
  • 3.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Public Infrastructure and External Financing Sources, 2007 and 2012
  • 3.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Private Participation in Infrastructure Investment by Country, 1995–2012
  • 3.7. Sub-Saharan Africa: New Syndicated and Large Bilateral Loans for Infrastructure by Lender Nationality, 2006–13
  • 3.8. Sub-Saharan Africa: Tenor of New Syndicated and Large Bilateral Loans
  • 3.9. Sub-Saharan Africa: Average Public Investment versus Change in Quality of Infrastructure Scores, 2006–13
  • 3.10. Sub-Saharan Africa: Low-Income Countries: Median General Government Revenue, 1990–2013

Related Communications and Access Options (as listed)

• Press Release: IMF Projects Robust Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, Amid Shifting Global Forces
• Survey Story: Strong Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, but Pockets of Difficulty
• Podcast: Strong Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Continues
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Regional Economic Outlooks Archive
• Regional Economic Outlooks
• IMF Regional Reports
• World Economic Outlook Archives
• Options: Sign up to receive free e-mail notices; Modify your profile; Ordering Information; Buy a print subscription; Subscribe; Download; Full Text

Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa - Staying the Course, October 2014 — Table of Contents

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• Afrique subsaharienne -- Maintenir le cap; le 20 octobre 2014
  • Afrique subsaharienne -- Maintenir le cap; le 20 octobre 2014 (PDF)
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References

• Sign up to receive free e-mail notices when new series and/or country items are posted on the IMF website.
• Modify your profile
• Ordering Information
• Disclaimer
• Press Release: IMF Projects Robust Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, Amid Shifting Global Forces
• Survey Story: Strong Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, but Pockets of Difficulty
• Podcast: Strong Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Continues
• Sub-Saharan Africa: Regional Economic Outlooks Archive
• Regional Economic Outlooks
• IMF Regional Reports
• World Economic Outlook Archives
• Subscribe
• https://www.imf.org/en/home