Do IMF-Supported Programs Help Make Fiscal Adjustment More Durable?

Author/Editor:

Soojin Moon ; Ales Bulir

Publication Date:

February 1, 2003

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper investigates fiscal developments in 112 countries during the 1990s. It finds that, while the overall fiscal balance improved in most of them, the composition of this improvement differed. In nonprogram countries, revenues increased modestly and expenditure declined sharply, while in program countries both revenue and expenditure declined. However, in countries with programs that included structural conditions the adjustment was effected primarily through sharp expenditure compression. We did not find evidence of a statistically significant impact of IMF conditionality. Morever, fiscal improvements are strongly influenced by cyclical factors

Series:

Working Paper No. 03/38

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

February 1, 2003

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451845716/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA0382003

Format:

Paper

Pages:

45

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