Fiscal and Monetary Nexus in Emerging Market Economies: How Does Debt Matter?

Author/Editor:

Garima Vasishtha ; Taimur Baig ; Manmohan S. Kumar ; Edda Zoli

Publication Date:

August 1, 2006

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper examines two main aspects of the interaction between fiscal and monetary policy in emerging market economies. First, it explores the interest rate-inflation relationship in economies with different levels of external and domestic public debt using panel- and crosssection data. The results show that interest rate-inflation elasticity weakens with debt/GDP and external debt/GDP. Second, it utilizes high-frequency data from Brazil, Turkey, and Poland to examine how market-determined variables react to economic news. The results suggest that when vulnerabilities are high, budget news has the most significant impact on country spreads and interest rates, and the impact of monetary policy is weakened.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2006/184

Subject:

Exchange rates Fiscal policy Fiscal stance Long term interest rates Public debt

English

Publication Date:

August 1, 2006

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451864441/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2006184

Pages:

43

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