Global Financial Spillovers to Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets
Electronic Access:
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Summary:
Foreign holdings of emerging markets (EMs) government bonds have increased substantially over the last decade. While foreign participation in local-currency sovereign bond markets provides an additional source of financing and reduces sovereign yields, it raises concerns about increased sensitivity of yields to shifts in market sentiment. The analysis in this paper suggests that foreign participation and an undiversified investor base transmit global financial shocks to local-currency sovereign bond markets by increasing yield volatility and, beyond a certain threshold, amplify these spillovers. These estimates are robust to a range of econometric techniques including panel smooth threshold regression.
Series:
Working Paper No. 2015/141
Subject:
Bond yields Financial institutions Financial markets Foreign exchange Forward exchange rates Public debt Securities markets Sovereign bonds
English
Publication Date:
June 26, 2015
ISBN/ISSN:
9781513552750/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA2015141
Pages:
22
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