IMF Working Papers

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Dhaneshwar Ghura, and Rina Bhattacharya. "Oil and Growth in the Republic of Congo", IMF Working Papers 2006, 185 (2006), accessed 12/22/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451864458.001

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This paper investigates the linkages between oil and growth in Congo, where there appears to be no evidence of direct spillover effects. The empirical results suggest however that political instability has a negative effect on non-oil growth, and that the presence of oil could have fueled political instability by being associated with weakening institutions. The results also show that fiscal discipline is beneficial for growth. In addition, there are strong linkages between world oil prices and the real effective exchange rate, with movements in the latter having important indirect repercussions for growth.

Subject: Natural resources, Oil, Oil prices, Oil sector, Real effective exchange rates

Keywords: government, transmission mechanism, WP

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