Public Investment and Growth in the Eastern Caribbean

Author/Editor:

Shaun K. Roache

Publication Date:

May 1, 2007

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper quantifies the effect of public investment on growth in the ECCU. The results, emerging from panel vector autoregressions, indicate that the return on public investment, as defined by Perreira (2000), is very likely negative. This means that the total change in real output induced by one EC dollar of public investment, due to its short-run impact on demand, or the longer-run impact on supply, is below one EC dollar. Public investment shocks also appear to appreciate the real exchange rate, suggesting that the short-run demand impact is larger than the long-run supply response.

Series:

Working Paper No. 07/124

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

May 1, 2007

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451866889/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2007124

Format:

Paper

Pages:

20

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