Luciana Juvenal

Last Updated: May 21, 2019

Luciana Juvenal

Luciana Juvenal is an Economist in the Research Department. She joined the IMF in 2012 and has also worked at the European Department and at the Institute for Capacity Development. Before joining the IMF, she worked for 4 years in the Research Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Her research interests are centered around open economy macroeconomics with an emphasis on exchange rates, trade, global imbalances and commodity price fluctuations. Her research work has been published in several academic journals. She studied Economics at the Universidad de Buenos Aires and holds a M.Sc. in Economics from the University College London and a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Warwick.

Personal WebPage: https://sites.google.com/site/lucianajuvenal/home

Fluent In: Spanish.

Work in progress:

"Markups, Quality and Trade Costs” (with Natalie Chen)

"Currency Composition of the IIP"

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike , Working Paper No. 2020/280 , December 11, 2020

Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs , Working Paper No. 20/36 , February 21, 2020

Cross-Border Currency Exposures , Working Paper No. 19/299 , December 27, 2019

The External Balance Assessment Methodology: 2018 Update , Working Paper No. 19/65 , March 19, 2019

Quality and the Great Trade Collapse , Working Paper No. 16/30 , February 18, 2016

Quality, Trade, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through , Working Paper No. 14/42 , March 12, 2014

Mexico's Integration into NAFTA Markets: A View from Sectoral Real Exchange Rates and Transaction Costs , Working Paper No. 08/123 , May 01, 2008

F&D articles

“Flight from Quality” (with Natalie Chen), Finance and Development, December 2016.

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

“Quality and the Great Trade Collapse” (with Natalie Chen), Journal of Development Economics, 135, 2018

“Trade and Synchronization in a Multi-Country Economy” (with Paulo Santos Monteiro), European Economic Review, 92, 2017.

“Quality, Trade, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through” (with Natalie Chen), Journal of International Economics, 100 (C), 2016.

“Speculation in the Oil Market” (with Ivan Petrella), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 30(4), 2015.

“Financial Integration, Globalization, and Systemic Risk” (with Gianni de Nicolò), Journal of Financial Stability, 10 (C), 2014.

“Sources of Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Are they Real or Nominal?” Journal of International Money and Finance, 30 (5), 2011.

“Asset Prices, Exchange Rates and the Current Account” (with Marcel Fratzscher and Lucio Sarno), European Economic Review, 54 (5), 2010.

“Threshold Adjustment in Deviations from the Law of One Price” (with Mark P. Taylor), Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 12 (3), 2008.

Other Published Materials

“The Prices of Higher Quality Goods Respond Less to Exchange Rate Movements” (with Natalie Chen), VoxEU, January 2014.

“Quantitative Easing: Lessons We’ve Learned” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2012.

“Coming to America: Covered Bonds” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, July 2012.

“When Oil Prices Jump, Is Speculation to Blame” (with Brett Fawley and Ivan Petrella), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2012.

“Why Health Care Matters and the Current Debt Does Not” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2011.

“Capital Controls by Any Other Name” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Economic Trends, August 2011.

“Commodity Price Gains: Speculation vs. Fundamentals” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2011.

“Why “Fixing” China’s currency is no Quick Fix” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2011.

“Unemployment and the Role of Monetary Policy” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monetary Trends, December 2010.

“International Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Economic Trends, November 2009.

“Asset Prices and their Effect on the U.S. Trade Balance.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Economic Trends, July 2009.

Luciana Juvenal

Luciana Juvenal is an Economist in the Research Department. She joined the IMF in 2012 and has also worked at the European Department and at the Institute for Capacity Development. Before joining the IMF, she worked for 4 years in the Research Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Her research interests are centered around open economy macroeconomics with an emphasis on exchange rates, trade, global imbalances and commodity price fluctuations. Her research work has been published in several academic journals. She studied Economics at the Universidad de Buenos Aires and holds a M.Sc. in Economics from the University College London and a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Warwick.

Personal WebPage: https://sites.google.com/site/lucianajuvenal/home

Fluent In: Spanish.

Work in progress:

"Markups, Quality and Trade Costs” (with Natalie Chen)

"Currency Composition of the IIP"

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike , Working Paper No. 2020/280 , December 11, 2020

Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs , Working Paper No. 20/36 , February 21, 2020

Cross-Border Currency Exposures , Working Paper No. 19/299 , December 27, 2019

The External Balance Assessment Methodology: 2018 Update , Working Paper No. 19/65 , March 19, 2019

Quality and the Great Trade Collapse , Working Paper No. 16/30 , February 18, 2016

Quality, Trade, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through , Working Paper No. 14/42 , March 12, 2014

Mexico's Integration into NAFTA Markets: A View from Sectoral Real Exchange Rates and Transaction Costs , Working Paper No. 08/123 , May 01, 2008

F&D articles

“Flight from Quality” (with Natalie Chen), Finance and Development, December 2016.

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

“Quality and the Great Trade Collapse” (with Natalie Chen), Journal of Development Economics, 135, 2018

“Trade and Synchronization in a Multi-Country Economy” (with Paulo Santos Monteiro), European Economic Review, 92, 2017.

“Quality, Trade, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through” (with Natalie Chen), Journal of International Economics, 100 (C), 2016.

“Speculation in the Oil Market” (with Ivan Petrella), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 30(4), 2015.

“Financial Integration, Globalization, and Systemic Risk” (with Gianni de Nicolò), Journal of Financial Stability, 10 (C), 2014.

“Sources of Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Are they Real or Nominal?” Journal of International Money and Finance, 30 (5), 2011.

“Asset Prices, Exchange Rates and the Current Account” (with Marcel Fratzscher and Lucio Sarno), European Economic Review, 54 (5), 2010.

“Threshold Adjustment in Deviations from the Law of One Price” (with Mark P. Taylor), Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 12 (3), 2008.

Other Published Materials

“The Prices of Higher Quality Goods Respond Less to Exchange Rate Movements” (with Natalie Chen), VoxEU, January 2014.

“Quantitative Easing: Lessons We’ve Learned” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2012.

“Coming to America: Covered Bonds” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses, July 2012.

“When Oil Prices Jump, Is Speculation to Blame” (with Brett Fawley and Ivan Petrella), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2012.

“Why Health Care Matters and the Current Debt Does Not” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, October 2011.

“Capital Controls by Any Other Name” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Economic Trends, August 2011.

“Commodity Price Gains: Speculation vs. Fundamentals” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, July 2011.

“Why “Fixing” China’s currency is no Quick Fix” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Regional Economist, April 2011.

“Unemployment and the Role of Monetary Policy” (with Brett Fawley), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Monetary Trends, December 2010.

“International Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Economic Trends, November 2009.

“Asset Prices and their Effect on the U.S. Trade Balance.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis International Economic Trends, July 2009.