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Real GDP is now above pre-crisis levels
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Strong revenue performance has supported fiscal consolidation
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Business environment has strengthened, but further progress in
implementing structural reforms is needed
The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) today
completed the seventh review of Serbia’s economic performance under the
Stand-By Arrangement (SBA). The completion of the review will make
available an additional SDR 54.565 million (€64.9 million) available to
Serbia under the SBA, bringing the total funds available to SDR 771.705
million (€918.5 million). The Serbian authorities have indicated that they
do not intend to draw on the resources available under the arrangement.
The Executive Board today also concluded the 2017 Article IV consultation
with Serbia. A respective press release will be issued separately.
The Executive Board approved the 36-month, SDR935.4 million (about €1.2
billion at the time of approval) SBA for Serbia on February 23, 2015 (see
Press Release No. 15/67
).
Following the Executive Board’s decision, Mr. Tao Zhang, Deputy Managing
Director and Acting Chair issued the following statement:
“The program remains on track and is supporting improved confidence and
stronger growth. Real GDP is now above pre-crisis levels and labor market
conditions are firming, while inflation remains anchored within the target
band and the current account deficit has narrowed. At the same time,
building stronger institutions and further progress on implementing the
structural reform agenda are needed to improve economic efficiency, bolster
private sector-led growth, and put Serbia on a faster convergence path to
create a platform for EU accession.
“Strong revenue performance has supported an important fiscal consolidation
and allowed for much less expenditure contraction than originally
envisaged. However, containing non-discretionary current spending remains
an important priority to support the needed debt reduction while creating
fiscal space for higher capital spending and potentially for targeted
reductions in tax burdens. Reforms in areas that have faced delays –
modernizing education, strengthening tax administration, and restructuring
of state-owned enterprises and utilities – should be carried out
expeditiously.
“Monetary policy has succeeded in keeping inflation under firm control. The
broad exchange rate stability has reinforced confidence and helped reduce
euroization, but there is a need to continue allowing day-to-day exchange
rate flexibility, consistent with the inflation-targeting regime.
“Financial sector reforms under the program have strengthened the
resilience of the sector. It is now in a stronger position to fully support
future growth. However, efforts to reduce NPLs need to continue, and
reforms of state-owned financial institutions need to be accelerated.
“Serbia’s business environment has strengthened, but impediments to private
investment and growth remain. Initiatives to improve property registration
and limit parafiscal charges need to be followed through, and efforts are
needed to strengthen judicial processes, especially to improve judicial
independence and reduce delays in court decisions. Strengthening labor
force participation, particularly among women, is also essential.”