On December 7, 2018, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) approved a three-year EAEFF in an amount of SDR 2.673 billion (about
US$3.7 billion or 361 percent of Angola’s quota) to support Angola’s
economic reform program.
The EFF
[1]
supported program will help Angola restore external and fiscal
sustainability and lay the foundations for sustainable, private-sector-led
economic diversification. Critical pillars of the program include fiscal
consolidation to bring debt to safer levels; increased exchange rate
flexibility to regain competitiveness; and supportive monetary policy to
reduce inflation. Other pillars of the program include strengthening the
banking system; enabling a better business environment; updating the
AML/CFT legal framework; and improving governance.
The Executive Board’s Decision allows for an amount of SDR 715 million
(about US$990.7 million) to be immediately made available to Angola. The
remaining amount will be phased in over the duration of the program,
subject to semi-annual reviews.
Following the Executive Board’s discussion, Mr. Tao Zhang, Deputy Managing
Director and Acting Chair, issued the following statement:
“The Angolan authorities are implementing a Macroeconomic Stabilization
Program which is focused on strengthening fiscal sustainability,
reducing inflation, promoting a more flexible exchange rate regime and
improving financial sector stability. They are also implementing a
National Development Plan for 2018–22 to address structural bottlenecks
and promote human development, public sector reform, diversification
and inclusive growth. The authorities also intend to improve governance
and fight corruption. These efforts are supported by an IMF program
under the Extended Fund Facility.
“Fiscal consolidation is a core element of the program. The authorities’
plan is to increase non-oil revenue, including by introducing a value added
tax, eliminating subsidies and clearing domestic arrears. Protecting the
poor and most vulnerable is an important element of the program. In this
regard, the sequencing of reforms and putting in place off-setting measures
will be important. Strengthening public financial management will improve
the allocation of scarce public resources and strengthen policy formulation
and implementation. Upfront fiscal consolidation in 2018 and gradual
consolidation in the medium term is necessary to place public debt on a
downward trajectory and create space for much needed infrastructure and
social spending. Sound policy implementation can mitigate risks from
international oil prices. Strengthened debt management and transparency is
critical to address debt-related risks.
“The exchange rate depreciation and the commitment to a market-determined
exchange rate are critical steps towards eliminating foreign exchange
shortages and restoring external competitiveness. The liberalized exchange
rate regime will be supported by tight monetary policy to anchor inflation
expectations and allow accumulation of international reserves.
“Safeguarding financial sector stability is critical for the success of the
program. The authorities plan to improve governance and credit-risk
management at public banks. An asset quality review for largest banks is
expected to inform possible recapitalization and restructuring needs. A
reexamination of policies that create foreign exchange mismatches in bank
balance sheets would help promote financial sector stability. Pressures on
correspondent banking relationships will be mitigated by submitting a new
AML/CFT law to Parliament.
“Structural reforms under the program will aim to diversify the economy to
reduce fiscal risks and foster private sector development. They will
include restructuring state-owned enterprises and improving the business
climate, strengthening economic governance, and continuing to fight
corruption.”
[1]
The Extended Fund Facility (EFF) was established to provide
assistance to countries: (i) experiencing serious payments
imbalances because of structural impediments; or (ii) characterized
by slow growth and an inherently weak balance of payments position.
It provides assistance in support of comprehensive programs that
include policies of the scope and character required to correct
structural imbalances over an extended period.