Thank you, Secretary Yellen, for your focus on growing food insecurity and
to Assistant Secretary Latortue for moderating today’s discussion.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has created a crisis on top of a crisis—with devastating human costs
and a massive setback for the global economy.
Our World Economic Outlook projects global growth slowing to 3.6 percent in 2022 from 6.1
percent in 2021. We have downgraded our forecast for 143 countries,
representing 86 percent of global GDP.
Inflation is reaching the highest levels seen in decades.
Sharply higher prices for food and fertilizers put pressure on households
worldwide—especially for the poorest. And we know that food crises can
unleash social unrest.
We need urgent action.
A key lesson from the 2007/08 food crisis is that fast and well-coordinated actions are critical to maintain
open trade, support vulnerable households, ensure sufficient agricultural
supply, and address financing pressures. Last week, I joined with the heads
of the World Bank, WFP, and WTO to call for an urgent coordinated response
by the international community.
In that spirit, I fully support Secretary’s Yellen proposal for an IFI
Action Plan.
At the IMF, we are committed to work closely with our partners,
focusing on our macroeconomic expertise:
First, real-time analysis of the situation.
We are assessing external financing needs across the most affected
countries, complementing the food insecurity heatmap developed by UN
agencies and others. We will also work with the WTO to ensure that global
and regional markets function properly.
Second, we are providing tailored policy advice to country authorities
to mitigate the impact of current food shortages and higher food prices
through targeted fiscal policies, and help them build resilience to future
shocks. The Fund’s new strategy on fragile and conflict-affected states
will help support enhanced engagement with those countries most severely
impacted by the food crisis.
Third, we will contribute to financing balance of payment needs caused
by the spike in food prices.
There are currently 40 countries with active IMF-supported programs that
can be augmented to address additional financing needs. We are also ready
to respond to financing requests from other countries, either through
traditional programs or emergency financing where appropriate. We will
coordinate with IFIs and donors and look to them to step up humanitarian
assistance and grants for the hardest-hit low‑income countries. And we will
deploy the new Resilience and Sustainability Trust to help countries adapt
agriculture to a world of more frequent and severe climate shocks.
Finally, for several countries this food crisis comes on top of a debt
crisis.
Since 2015 the share of low‑income countries at or near debt distress has
doubled, from 30 to 60 percent. For many, debt restructuring is a pressing
priority. We need the G20 Common Framework to integrate lessons from
experience and deliver for the countries turning to it for help—and we need
large creditors, like China, and the private sector, to urgently step up
their participation.
Let me end on a positive note: we know hunger is the world’s greatest
solvable problem. A looming crisis is the time to act decisively — and
solve it.
Thank you.