Washington, DC – November 16, 2023: An International
Monetary Fund (IMF) team, led by Cemile Sancak, IMF Mission Chief for
Cameroon, visited Cameroon on October 19-November 1 and held virtual
meetings from November 2-16 to discuss macro-critical policy measures to
manage current shocks and boost medium-term growth and resilience in the
context of the fifth reviews of the three-year program supported by the
Extended Credit Facility (ECF) and Extended Fund Facility (EFF)
arrangements. The arrangement was
approved by the IMF Executive Board on July 29, 2021
, for a total amount of SDR 483 million (about US$689.5 million).
At the conclusion of the mission, Ms. Sancak issued the following
statement:
“I am pleased to announce that the Cameroonian authorities and the IMF
staff have reached a staff-level agreement on the economic and financial
policies that could support the approval of the fifth reviews of the program
under the ECF and EFF arrangements. Conclusion of the fifth review by the
IMF Executive Board in December would enable the disbursement of SDR 55.2
million (about US$ 72.7 million), bringing the total IMF financial support
disbursed under the arrangement to SDR 427.8 million (about US$ 566.3
million.)
“The mission also reached a staff level agreement with the Cameroonian
authorities on the extension of the ECF and EFF arrangements for 12 months
to July 2025. The extension would provide additional financing of SDR 110.4
million (about US$ 145.4 million).
“The Cameroonian economy has remained resilient in the face of a difficult
external environment, including tight global financial conditions and high
oil price volatility. Following an increase of 4 percent in 2023, real GDP
growth is expected to accelerate to 4.3 percent in 2024. Headline 12-month
inflation is expected to moderate from 7.2 percent in 2023 to 5.9 percent in
2024.
“Fiscal performance in 2023 is broadly in line with the program. The
overall deficit is expected to decline from 1.1 percent in 2022 to 0.7
percent in 2023 while the non-oil primary deficit is expected to fall from
3.9 to 2.5 percent over the same period. At the same time, the stock of
public debt is expected to fall from 45 percent of GDP at end-2022 to below
42 percent at end-2023. Budget execution was supported by a significant
increase in non-oil revenues. However, it also faced pressures from fuel
subsidy in 2022, which was substantially higher than expected and carried
over to 2023. A substantial portion of subsidy is also likely to be carried
over from 2023 to 2024.
“The authorities expressed their continued commitment to maintaining
macroeconomic stability. In line with program objectives, fiscal policy
remains geared towards consolidation and strengthening the resilience of
the public finances. The authorities are therefore committed to reducing
the non-oil primary deficit further in 2024 to below 2 percent of GDP and
the stock of public debt to 40 percent of GDP. The authorities have
committed to incorporating adequate financing in the 2024 budget to cover
substantial unpaid obligations from the execution of the 2023 budget and
carried over to 2024. They recognize that budget execution in 2024 will
continue to face large and unsustainable pressures from fuel subsidies
unless steps are taken to moderate the costs.
“Implementation of structural reforms is progressing. The authorities
acknowledged the need for a more concerted effort to mobilize domestic
non-oil revenues by widening the tax base, improve the prioritization,
efficiency, and procurement of public expenditures, reduce spending through
exceptional procedures, and settle unpaid obligations on a timely basis. It
is important to strengthen the management of public enterprises, especially
those supporting economic infrastructure. In this context, the mission
emphasized the need for progress on restructuring SONARA.
“The mission discussed policies to ensure long-term sustainable growth and
address macro-critical climate challenges. The national development
strategy for 2020-30 (SND30) envisages a broad structural transformation of
the economy. Horizontal policies such as investments in human capital and
infrastructure, enhancing governance, improving access to finance will
support structural transformation and export diversification. To address
macro-critical climate challenges, Cameroon needs to mainstream climate
commitments into the country’s institutional, regulatory and public finance
frameworks and step up both adaptation and mitigation efforts.
“The IMF team met with the Prime Minister, Joseph Dion Ngute, the Minister
of State and Secretary General of the Presidency, Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh, the
Minister of Finance, Louis Paul Motaze, the Minister of the Economy,
Planning, and Regional Development, Alamine Ousmane Mey, the National
Director of the BEAC, Emmanuel Nkoa Ayissi, and other senior officials. The
team also met with representatives of development partners, the diplomatic
community, the private sector, and civil society.
“The team wishes to thank the Cameroonian authorities for their excellent
cooperation and for the frank and constructive dialogue.