Washington, DC: The
Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed the first
reviews under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF)
[1]
Arrangement and the Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility
(EFF)
[2]
for Côte d’Ivoire.
The 40-month ECF/EFF arrangements with a total access of SDR 2,601.6
million (about US$3.5 billion or 400 percent of Côte d’Ivoire’s IMF quota)
were approved by the IMF Executive Board on May 24, 2023. The completion of
the first reviews of the ECF/EFF arrangements provides Côte d’Ivoire
immediate access to the second disbursement for a total of SDR 371.657
million or US$495.288 million.
Program performance has been strong. The Ivorian economy has faced adverse
spillovers from the war in Ukraine and global monetary tightening. Indirect
and direct subsidies to curb price pressures, higher security spending, and
worsening terms-of-trade amid robust domestic demand had led to a widening
of macroeconomic imbalances in 2022. Under the ECF/EFF arrangements, the
authorities have started decisive fiscal consolidation in 2023, including
through increased domestic revenue mobilization. They also pursued the
implementation of their national development plan through important
structural reforms to improve business climate and private sector’s
involvement in the country’s development. Growth has remained resilient,
estimated at about 6 ½ percent in 2023, while both the current account and
budget deficits are projected to shrink compared to 2022 by 1.6 and 1.1
percent of GDP respectively.
Following the Executive Board discussion, Mr. Okamura, Acting Chair and
Deputy Managing Director, made the following statement:
“Côte d’Ivoire’s performance under the Fund supported program has been
strong, reflecting the authorities’ commitment to entrenching macroeconomic
stability. Growth has been among the highest in Africa for more than a
decade and the country has delivered the largest fiscal consolidation in
the WAEMU region in the last six months. Sustained reform efforts will help
maintain a moderate risk of debt distress amid a still difficult external
backdrop.
“Continued fiscal consolidation envisaged in the 2024 budget will be
underpinned by high-quality and permanent tax policy measures, as well as
tax and customs administration reforms. These will support reaching the
WAEMU deficit target of 3 percent of GDP by 2025 and reduce the country’s
debt sustainability risks.
“Sustaining domestic revenue mobilization over the medium-term remains a
clear priority, to generate the fiscal space needed to finance deeper
economic transformation towards upper middle-income status. To this end,
development, publication, and implementation of the MTRS will require
significant engagement with stakeholders to ensure buy-in for the requisite
overhaul of the tax system, and in particular streamlining or eliminating
VAT tax exemptions and tax expenditures.
“Safeguarding fiscal space will be aided by the authorities’ commitments to
enhance the coverage, transparency, and management of public finances,
especially to cover state owned enterprises. The authorities’ continued
focus on improving the institutional and legislative framework for debt
management remains critical in safeguarding debt sustainability.
“Sustaining structural reform momentum and continuous improvements in
safeguarding financial integrity and governance are important for unlocking
the private sector’s potential. Completing the review of the financial
inclusion strategy and advancing related reforms will enhance financial
access to vulnerable groups and women. Moreover, addressing the
recommendations made by the Financial Action Task Force to improve the
effectiveness of Côte d’Ivoire’s AML/CFT system, and strengthening both
public procurement and the asset declaration framework for public officials
will strengthen governance. Further investments in human capital
development, especially amongst youth and women, will make growth more
inclusive. Strengthening resilience to climate change, including through a
possible future Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) arrangement,
will also be important for a sustainable transformation of Côte d’Ivoire’s
economy.”
[1]
The
ECF
is a lending arrangement that provides sustained program engagement
over the medium to long term in case of protracted balance of
payments problems.
[2]
The
EFF
was established to provide assistance to countries: (i)
experiencing serious payments imbalances because of structural
impediments; or (ii) characterized by slow growth and an inherently
weak balance of payments position.
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Côte d'Ivoire: Selected Economic Indicators (2019-2023)
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Population (2021): 29 million
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Gini Index (2018): 37.2
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Per capita GDP (2021): 2,445 USD
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Life Expectancy (2020): 59
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Share of population below the poverty line (2018): 39.5%
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2019
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2020
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2021
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2022
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2023
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Prel
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Proj.
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Output
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Real GDP Growth (%)
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6.7
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0.9
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7.4
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6.7
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6.4
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Prices
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Inflation (annual average, %)
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0.8
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2.4
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4.2
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5.2
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4.7
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Central government finances
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Revenues (% GDP)
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14.2
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14.4
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15.3
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14.8
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15.8
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Expenditure (% GDP)
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17.2
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20.4
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20.7
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22.1
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21.7
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Fiscal balance (% GDP)
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-2.2
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-5.4
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-4.9
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-6.8
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-5.2
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Public debt (% GDP)
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37.2
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46.3
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50.9
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56.8
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58.0
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Money and Credit
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Broad money (% change)
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10.8
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21.1
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18.7
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9.0
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…
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Credit to private sector (% change)
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6.1
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9.2
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12.5
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7.3
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…
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Balance of payments
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Current account (% GDP)
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-2.2
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-3.1
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-4.0
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-6.9
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-5.8
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Net FDI Inflows (% GDP)
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1.2
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1.1
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1.5
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1.4
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1.5
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WAEMU reserves (in months of imports)
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5.6
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5.5
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5.2
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4.1
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…
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External public debt (% GDP)
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24.7
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29.7
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30.9
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34.5
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35.0
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Exchange rate
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REER (% change, depreciation –)
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-3.9
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5.1
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-0.6
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-5.2
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…
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Sources: Ivorian authorities, World Bank, and IMF staff estimates.
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