July 14, 2025
PRESS OFFICER: Tatiana Mossot
Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org
Washington, DC: Today, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed the Seventh of Niger’s economic and financial program supported by the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement, and the Third Review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) arrangement. Niger’s ECF was approved on December 8, 2021 (see PR 21/366) and complemented by the RSF in July 2023 (see PR 23/256). The ECF arrangement was extended by twelve months until December 2026 to support the implementation of additional reforms to consolidate recent progress in governance, to entrench sound fiscal policies, and to address the protracted balance of payments needs induced by the tight financing environment.
The completion of the reviews allows for the immediate disbursement of SDR13.16 million (about US$18 million) under the ECF—bringing total disbursements under the arrangement to SDR 184.24 million (about US$245 million)—and of SDR17.108 million (about US$23 million) under the RSF, bringing total disbursements under the RSF arrangement to SDR76.988 million (about US$101 million).
Following the Executive Board’s discussion on Niger, Mr. Okamura, Deputy Managing Director, and Acting Chair of the Board, made the following statement:
“The authorities’ implementation of their ECF- and RSF-supported programs was broadly satisfactory. Niger’s economy has demonstrated resilience against shocks stemming from political instability, conflict, and extreme climate events. Economic activity rebounded in 2024 and the near-term outlook is relatively favorable, driven by the extractive sector. Nevertheless, there is significant uncertainty and downside risks are elevated, including those linked to a deterioration of the security situation, the tightening of financing conditions, and further reductions in financial support from development partners.
“The authorities’ strong commitment to the program’s objectives will be key to ensure macroeconomic stability, while fostering economic development to lay the foundation to permanently escape fragility. Policy priorities include the achievement of the revenue-based fiscal adjustment trajectory, the swift implementation of the oil revenue management strategy supported by improved governance and transparency in the oil sector, the rollout of measures to strengthen revenue mobilization, and efforts to enhance the efficiency and quality of public spending.
“Given the tight financing conditions, the authorities should pursue a prudent borrowing policy, relying on concessional financing to limit the risk of debt distress. It is also essential to continue the implementation of the arrears clearance plan and strengthen treasury and debt management to prevent the accumulation of new arrears.
“The authorities should capitalize on the forthcoming Governance Diagnostic Assessment to formulate and implement policies aimed at enhancing governance frameworks. Promoting private sector development, addressing vulnerabilities in the financial sector, and advancing financial inclusion are also essential for achieving resilient and inclusive economic growth.
Progress in implementing reforms under the RSF-supported program is welcome. These reforms will help build resilience to climate shocks and lay the foundation to unlock additional finance for climate-related investments.”
Table 1. Niger: Selected Economic Indicators Table, 2024-30
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | ||||||||||
| Est. | ECF 6th Review | Est. | ECF 6th Review | Proj. | Projections | |||||||||||
| (Annual percentage change) | ||||||||||||||||
| National income and prices | ||||||||||||||||
| GDP at constant prices | 10.3 | 7.9 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | |||||||
| Export volume | 32.5 | 91.7 | 138.0 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 9.0 | -0.4 | -1.5 | 0.8 | |||||||
| Import volume | 8.5 | 12.0 | 15.2 | 6.8 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 5.0 | |||||||
| CPI (annual average) | 9.1 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||||||
| CPI (end-of-period) | 4.7 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||||||
| Money and credit | ||||||||||||||||
| Broad money | 6.9 | 13.6 | 14.4 | 11.7 | 13.4 | 8.7 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 8.3 | |||||||
| Domestic credit | 13.8 | 12.3 | 16.2 | 6.2 | 10.3 | 7.9 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 7.2 | |||||||
| Credit to the government (net) | 27.2 | 18.1 | 21.0 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4.8 | |||||||
| Credit to the economy | 8.3 | 9.4 | 13.8 | 8.5 | 13.2 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 8.2 | |||||||
| Credit to the private sector | 9.7 | 10.3 | 14.2 | 9.5 | 13.9 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.4 | |||||||
| (Percent of GDP) | ||||||||||||||||
| Government finances | ||||||||||||||||
| Total revenue | 7.7 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 10.3 | 10.8 | 11.0 | 11.2 | |||||||
| Total expenditure and net lending | 13.4 | 14.6 | 14.2 | 15.0 | 14.2 | 14.6 | 14.9 | 15.0 | 15.0 | |||||||
| Current expenditure | 8.7 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.8 | |||||||
| Capital expenditure | 4.7 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.3 | |||||||
| Basic balance (excl. grants) | -3.4 | -1.1 | -1.3 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.5 | |||||||
| Overall balance (incl. grants) | -4.3 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 | |||||||
| Gross investment | 19.9 | 20.5 | 22.5 | 19.1 | 22.9 | 22.9 | 22.7 | 22.4 | 22.0 | |||||||
| Non-government investment | 16.4 | 15.7 | 18.1 | 14.2 | 18.3 | 18.2 | 18.1 | 17.6 | 17.3 | |||||||
| Government investment | 3.5 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | |||||||
| External current account balance (incl. grants) | -6.0 | -4.1 | -3.1 | -4.4 | -5.0 | -3.8 | -3.6 | -3.8 | -3.7 | |||||||
| External current account balance (excl. grants) | -6.4 | -4.6 | -3.4 | -5.0 | -5.3 | -4.3 | -4.1 | -4.3 | -4.1 | |||||||
| Total public and publicly-guaranteed debt | 47.2 | 45.6 | 44.0 | 44.7 | 43.0 | 42.6 | 42.6 | 42.6 | 42.5 | |||||||
| Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt | 26.5 | 27.5 | 24.9 | 27.5 | 24.9 | 24.6 | 24.5 | 24.5 | 24.7 | |||||||
| NPV of external debt | 18.3 | 17.6 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 15.2 | 15.0 | 15.2 | |||||||
| Public domestic debt | 20.8 | 18.1 | 19.1 | 17.3 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 17.8 | |||||||
| (Billions of CFA francs) | ||||||||||||||||
| GDP at current market prices | 12,043 | 13,305 | 13,319 | 14,608 | 14,627 | 15,897 | 17,189 | 18,586 | 20,099 | |||||||
| Sources: Nigerien authorities; and IMF staff estimates and projections. | ||||||||||||||||
