IMF Staff Country Reports

Brazil: 2025 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Brazil

July 17, 2025

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Format: Chicago

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. "Brazil: 2025 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Brazil", IMF Staff Country Reports 2025, 194 (2025), accessed 12/5/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229017602.002

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Summary

GDP growth in Brazil has been remarkably resilient over the past three years
and, as expected, is showing signs of moderation. The expansion has reflected strong
consumption supported by fiscal stimulus on the demand side, and supply-side factors.
Inflation rebounded in 2024 amid strong demand, a rise in food prices, and currency
depreciation. As inflation expectations rose above the target tolerance interval,
monetary policy entered a new policy tightening cycle in September. Long-standing
challenges remain, including elevated public debt and spending rigidities that crowd
out priority investments. The authorities have made progress on reforms to foster
sustainable and inclusive growth, including implementation of VAT reform.

Subject: Credit, Fiscal policy, Fiscal stance, Inflation, Money, Prices, Public debt

Keywords: Credit, exchange transaction, executive branch, Fiscal stance, Global, headline inflation, Inflation, inflation expectation, policy uncertainty, public sector Government Finance Statistics