Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste: 2025 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste
September 26, 2025
Summary
Timor-Leste’s financial buffers and favorable demographics provide an opportunity to develop its economy. Despite impressive progress since independence, the economy remains under-diversified, while fiscal and external imbalances are large. The Petroleum Fund’s (PF) balance stood at 939 percent of non-oil GDP in 2024, making Timor-Leste’s Net Foreign Asset position one of the highest in the world as a share of the domestic economy. But oil and gas production has ceased and large withdrawals from the PF to finance fiscal deficits, should they continue, would lead to its full depletion by the end of the 2030s. Timor-Leste has one of the youngest populations in the Asia-Pacific region, holding promise for future growth.
Subject: Debt sustainability analysis, Expenditure, External debt, Public debt
Keywords: Asia and Pacific, consultation cycle, Debt sustainability analysis, executive board assessment, Global, IMF's article, reform agenda, Timor-Leste's independence
Pages:
77
Volume:
2025
DOI:
Issue:
278
Series:
Country Report No. 2025/278
Stock No:
1TLSEA2025001
ISBN:
9798229026673
ISSN:
1934-7685





