Technical Assistance Reports

Colombia: Technical Assistance Report-Scoping Mission to Develop Macroeconomic Forecasting Capacity at the Autonomous Committee for the Fiscal Rule (CARF)

November 1, 2024

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Format: Chicago

International Monetary Fund. Institute for Capacity Development "Colombia: Technical Assistance Report-Scoping Mission to Develop Macroeconomic Forecasting Capacity at the Autonomous Committee for the Fiscal Rule (CARF)", Technical Assistance Reports 2024, 087 (2024), accessed 12/19/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400290695.019

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Summary

In response to a request from the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank, staff from the IMF´s Institute for Capacity Development (ICD) conducted diagnostic work and provided insights to enhance the Autonomous Committee for the Fiscal Rule (CARF)'s technical capacity. This report emphasizes a comprehensive action plan agreed with CARF to develop and institutionalize a new macroeconomic framework using ICD´s Comprehensive Adaptive Expectations Model, integrated with CARF's tools. Anticipated to boost CARF's ability in generating accurate macroeconomic projections and assessments, this macroeconomic framework supports Colombia's policy development and implementation. The plan includes a two-year timetable with virtual engagements and in-person missions, aiming to transfer knowledge and build capacity among CARF's economists.

Subject: Fiscal policy, Fiscal rules, Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts, Medium-term budget frameworks, Public debt, Public financial management (PFM), Revenue administration

Keywords: Capacity Development, CARF authorities, CARF staff, CARF team, Evaluation and Selection, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development, Fiscal Council, Fiscal Policy, Fiscal rules, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications, General Macroeconomic Policy, High Level Summary, Independent Fiscal Institution., Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts, Medium-term budget frameworks, Planning Models, Planning Policy, satellite model, staff turnover, Technical Assistance