Global Market Conditions and Systemic Risk
October 1, 2009
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Summary
This paper examines several key global market conditions, such as a proxy for market uncertainty and measures of interbank funding stress, to assess financial volatility and the likelihood of crisis. Using Markov regime-switching techniques, it shows that the Lehman Brothers failure was a watershed event in the crisis, although signs of heightened systemic risk could be detected as early as February 2007. In addition, we analyze the role of global market conditions to help determine when governments should begin to exit their extraordinary public support measures.
Subject: Currency markets, Financial crises, Interbank markets, Stock markets, Systemic risk
Keywords: forex, market, market condition, Ted, WP
Pages:
22
Volume:
2009
DOI:
Issue:
230
Series:
Working Paper No. 2009/230
Stock No:
WPIEA2009230
ISBN:
9781451873771
ISSN:
1018-5941
