IMF Working Papers

Mexico’s Integration into NAFTA Markets: A View from Sectoral Real Exchange Rates and Transaction Costs

ByLuciana Juvenal, Rodolphe Blavy

May 1, 2008

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Format: Chicago

Luciana Juvenal, and Rodolphe Blavy. "Mexico’s Integration into NAFTA Markets: A View from Sectoral Real Exchange Rates and Transaction Costs", IMF Working Papers 2008, 123 (2008), accessed 11/14/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451869835.001

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

A self-exciting threshold autoregressive model is used to measure transaction costs that may explain relative price differentials and nonlinearities in the behavior of sectoral real exchange rates across Mexico, Canada and the U.S. Interpreting price threshold bands as transactions costs, we find evidence that Mexico still face higher transaction costs than their developed counterparts, even though trade liberalization lowers relative price differentials between countries. The distance between countries and nominal exchange rate volatility are found to be determinants of transaction costs that limit price convergence. Other factors-including weak domestic competition and transportation-are also likely to be important.

Subject: Arbitrage, Consumer price indexes, Exchange rates, North American Free Trade Agreement, Real exchange rates

Keywords: null hypothesis, WP