Saving in Latin America and the Caribbean: Performance and Policies
May 18, 2015
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary
This paper analyzes saving patterns and determinants in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), including key policy variables and regimes. The review of previous empirical studies on LAC saving reveals contradictions and omissions. This paper presents empirical results of an extensive search of determinants of private and public saving rates, adding previously neglected variables (including different measures of key external prices and macroeconomic policy regimes), in linear form and in interactions with other saving determinants. It analyzes statistical differences in saving determinants between LAC and the rest of the world in a nested econometric framework, and discusses differences across three country subgroups within LAC. The results highlight commonalities and differences in saving behavior between LAC and other world regions, as well as within LAC, identifying the role of key policy variables and regimes.
Subject: Fiscal policy, Fiscal rules, Income, Inflation targeting, Monetary policy, National accounts, Private savings, Technology, Technology transfer
Keywords: Asia and Pacific, consumption, discount factor raise saving, Europe, Fiscal rules, growth rate, household saving, Income, Inflation targeting, LAC dummy, LAC oil exporter, LAC saving, LAC subgroup, Latin America, Middle East and Central Asia, oil exporter, private saving, Private savings, private sector, public saving, saving determinant, saving effect, saving rate, standard deviation, Technology transfer, WP
Pages:
41
Volume:
2015
DOI:
Issue:
108
Series:
Working Paper No. 2015/108
Stock No:
WPIEA2015108
ISBN:
9781513538167
ISSN:
1018-5941





