Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Stability: Automatic Stabilizers Work, Always and Everywhere

Author/Editor:

Xavier Debrun ; Radhicka Kapoor

Publication Date:

May 1, 2010

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

The paper revisits the link between fiscal policy and macroeconomic stability. Two salient features of our analysis are (1) a systematic test for the government’s ambivalent role as a shock absorber and a shock inducer—removing a downward bias present in existing estimates of the impact of automatic stabilizers—and (2) a broad sample of advanced and emerging market economies. Results provide strong support for the view that fiscal stabilization operates mainly through automatic stabilizers. Also, the destabilizing impact of policy changes not systematically related to the business cycle may not be as robust as suggested in the literature.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2010/111

Subject:

Frequency:

Annually

English

Publication Date:

May 1, 2010

ISBN/ISSN:

9781455200702/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2010111

Pages:

46

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