IMF Staff Country Reports

Mexico: Selected Issues

Publication Date:

November 17, 2015

Electronic Access:

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Summary:

This Selected Issues paper analyzes fiscal multipliers in Mexico. Estimates of fiscal multipliers––obtained from state-level spending––fall within 0.6–0.7 after accounting for dynamic effects. However, the size of multipliers varies with the output gap. The planned fiscal consolidation—under the estimated multipliers—is projected to subtract on average 0.5 percentage points from growth over 2015–20. However, there are offsetting effects. The positive growth impulse of lower costs on manufactured goods production is estimated to reach 0.5 percentage point in 2015 and 2016, largely offsetting the impact of fiscal consolidation on growth in the near term.

Series:

Country Report No. 2015/314

Subject:

Bank credit Credit Excises Fiscal councils Fiscal policy Money Public debt Taxes